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Preview: Gold Versus Paper

Gold Versus Paper





Updated: 2011-05-29T10:52:33.671-07:00

 



Playing with fire. Keep the extinguisher nearby. ...

2010-05-31T19:58:11.873-07:00

Playing with fire. Keep the extinguisher nearby.

PaperVersusPaper!



also greece can't print it's way out of ma...

2010-05-31T15:29:19.945-07:00

also greece can't print it's way out of market crashes like we can....this makes an important difference right?

i am not arguing that money printing/or stimulus is necessarily a good thing, but in predictions it needs to be considered as a possibility right?



hi, like the blog. how does this fit in to wha...

2010-05-31T15:23:56.761-07:00

hi,

like the blog.

how does this fit in to what marc faber is saying about june and july being ok months for the stock market, no new highs, but then trouble again around sept, oct.
he seems to think any bear movements in the market will be turned around with fed actions to pump it back up and that the strong resistance of 1045 at S&P will hold for near term.

http://marcfaberblog.blogspot.com/2010/05/video-we-are-oversold-in-near-term.html



Adam love the blog and have been following it for...

2010-05-31T13:34:26.535-07:00

Adam

love the blog and have been following it for a few months (just found it) and always click on a few ads to show my support. What are your thoughts on how far out to buy the puts?



your site was down for a couple of days... thought...

2010-05-31T10:00:19.490-07:00

your site was down for a couple of days... thought you were dead! ;)



Anon1, That article was in this weekend's Bar...

2010-05-31T06:31:00.807-07:00

Anon1,

That article was in this weekend's Barron's.

Picked apart here.



Thanks Adam!

2010-05-30T18:56:53.392-07:00

Thanks Adam!



Anon1- Mogambo Guru is freakin' hilarious (FH...

2010-05-30T18:26:24.958-07:00

Anon1-

Mogambo Guru is freakin' hilarious (FH).

Anon2-

Chrysophobia means both (fear of orange and fear of Gold) - I liked this term the first time I saw it (in a piece by Antal Fekete).

GG-

And I just saw your excellent piece on Zerohedge - kudos! Denninger is brilliant in some areas, retarded in others.



"Most won't, though. They will follow the...

2010-05-30T15:18:54.624-07:00

"Most won't, though. They will follow the herd into the next financial abattoir."

Good one Adam. LMAO!



Sorry, I meant aurophobia

2010-05-30T13:39:09.373-07:00

Sorry, I meant aurophobia



chrysophobia - definition : fear of the color oran...

2010-05-30T13:38:00.085-07:00

chrysophobia - definition : fear of the color orange

Do you mean aurophibia - definition: fear of gold?



Adam, Saw a headline similar to the one you mentio...

2010-05-29T17:09:11.806-07:00

Adam,
Saw a headline similar to the one you mention, it said "Gold is the ultimate fiat currency". I did a double take. It is amazing how much propaganda gets printed in the financial press. Oh well, I think the Mogambo Guru said that 85% of investors in the market have to lose money, in order for the 15% to make large gains. Apparently it will happen again in the Treasury and Gold markets.



I recently came across your blog and have been rea...

2010-05-28T14:27:53.304-07:00

I recently came across your blog and have been reading along. I think I will leave my first comment. I don’t know what to say except that I have enjoyed reading. Nice blog. I will keep visiting this blog very often.



Josh- You may be right (only Mr. Market knows). W...

2010-05-28T07:50:01.696-07:00

Josh-

You may be right (only Mr. Market knows). When looking at the late 2007 top, however, keep in mind that that was "the" top (i.e. end of a 4 year bull market) and the current top is only an intermediate term top (i.e. 14 month bull market). The shorter the term, the lesser time tops will often take to make (to make them proportionate). I don't the think the bear market that started with the big top in 2007 ever ended. Food for thought...



I think (for what's that's worth !) you ma...

2010-05-28T02:19:50.088-07:00

I think (for what's that's worth !) you may be a little early. It could be look for a lower top in about 6 weeks time. I am looking for, hoping for (uggh !) strength to sell into for a large part of my junior miners and explorers, and then scaling in some shorts for the general market, but not betting the farm on it. If the strength doesn't materialise, then I have no choice but to hold and keep adding to my collection of juniors lower down. I will be doing that anyway if the junior sector goes south after initial strength. Selling into strength is my weakness.
Great charts as usual, but if you havent seen this one.....
http://market-ticker.org/
(Click on calendar May 28).
But the likelihood that if everyone is looking at the same chart, it won't happen !



Been watching your blog TWO( the white one) Han...

2010-05-27T17:58:48.262-07:00

Been watching your blog TWO( the white one)

Hanging with your advice.

Hoping you r right.

Gmoney



Amen to that. Guessing direction and timing is ex...

2010-05-27T16:04:03.604-07:00

Amen to that. Guessing direction and timing is extremely risky.
Thanks



Anon- Talking about buying puts on the DRN ETF. T...

2010-05-27T15:11:17.377-07:00

Anon-

Talking about buying puts on the DRN ETF. There are, however, less leveraged / risky ways to bet against commercial real estate. Please stay away from options, by the way, if you're not experienced with them.



So Adam, you are talking about buying puts on $RMZ...

2010-05-27T14:18:03.966-07:00

So Adam, you are talking about buying puts on $RMZ, right?



GREAT ARTICAL! 100% AGREE WITH YOUR VISION. Andr...

2010-05-27T10:02:23.798-07:00

GREAT ARTICAL! 100% AGREE WITH YOUR VISION.

Andrea.



What is your target gold price if the dow gold rat...

2010-05-26T22:01:09.084-07:00

What is your target gold price if the dow gold ratio hits 1? I did a calculation some time ago and I ended up and $15,000 but I do not remember how I came up with that figure



All- Thank you for your kind words (and clicks).

2010-05-26T20:17:41.713-07:00

All-

Thank you for your kind words (and clicks).



You were missed, and gone just long enough for me ...

2010-05-26T18:43:39.822-07:00

You were missed, and gone just long enough for me to get in and out of UGL and take profitable advantage of the usual options expiration silliness.
(You know, I really don't mind a casino when it is so easy to count the cards - LOL).

Smufty the Ad Clicker



Yes, I thought this blog had been blacklisted, LOL...

2010-05-26T17:24:01.749-07:00

Yes, I thought this blog had been blacklisted, LOL.

Good to see it back on.



Hey Adam good that you are back, was wondering if ...

2010-05-26T16:30:51.829-07:00

Hey Adam good that you are back, was wondering if some hacker did some damage just as Gold makes a recovery. Greetings from Malaysia.