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Preview: Moody's Investors Services: Credit Trends Commentary

Credit Trends from Moody's Analytics



The Credit Market Trends Service is a Web-based Economic Service focused on the fixed income market. The service compiles economic data and commentary from Moody's expert economists and is released in a rolling fashion throughout the day, week and month.



Published: 1/20/2018 12:31:48 PM

 



High-Yield Spread Approaches Current-Cycle Low

01/19/2018 05:24 PM

The January spread could end up as the thinnest for a month since June 2014.



Economic Roundup: Clocks Ticking

01/19/2018 05:03 PM

Direct economic costs of a U.S. government shutdown are small, but there could be other consequences.



Treasuries Tell Equities to Curb Their Enthusiasm

01/18/2018 05:32 PM

In response to a 10-year Treasury yield of 2.62%, the market value of U.S. common stock fell 0.21%.



Economic Roundup: Lawmakers Are on the Hot Seat

01/18/2018 04:49 PM

Concerns about a government shutdown mount, but the economic costs would likely be small.



Positive Outlook for 2018’s M&A Improves Prospects for Equities

01/17/2018 05:43 PM

This will depend on benchmark borrowing costs not increasing considerably.



Economic Roundup: Mother Nature Helps Boost U.S. Industrial Production

01/17/2018 05:30 PM

Weather's impact on the U.S. data is widely debated and underappreciated.



Outstandings of High-Yield Corporate Bonds Shrank in 2017

01/16/2018 05:37 PM

This has not happened amid a mature business cycle upturn since 2006.



Economic Roundup: It's a Party, and (Almost) Everyone Is Invited

01/16/2018 05:21 PM

The global economy is firing on many cylinders, with GDP rising 3.6% in the third quarter of 2017.



Default Rate’s Now-Declining Trend Differs Radically From Its Climb During 1999-2000’s Equity Rally

01/12/2018 05:36 PM

The richly priced U.S. equity market is likely to avoid a harsh reversal this year.



Economic Roundup: A Solid End to the Week

01/12/2018 04:37 PM

Inflation data strengthens the case for a Fed hike in March.



Economic Roundup: December Inflation Softer Than Expected

01/11/2018 05:12 PM

After firming, the PPI for final demand stepped back by 0.1% on services.



Stocks and Corporate Bonds' 2015-2016 Slump Was More Severe Than 1994’s Retreat

01/11/2018 03:05 PM

No need to panic if 2018 turns out like 1994, when the reversal was less painful than in other years.



Steep P:E Ratios Heighten Equities’ Vulnerability to Higher Bond Yields

01/10/2018 05:43 PM

Worries about a possible bear market in bonds were eased by a strongly bid auction of new 10-year U.S. Treasury notes.



Economic Roundup: Energy Takes the Stage

01/10/2018 05:17 PM

U.S. import prices rose 0.1% in December, more slowly than expected.



Higher Treasury Bond Yields May Soon Stall the Rally

01/09/2018 05:45 PM

Unless Treasury bond yields ease, Wednesday's market value of U.S. common stock could close lower for the first time this year.



Economic Roundup: Small-Business Confidence Weakens Slightly, but No Worries

01/09/2018 05:16 PM

The NFIB index averaged 104.8 in 2017—the highest on record.



Student Loan Debt Soars From 2007’s 23% to 2017’s 39% of Outstanding Consumer Credit

01/08/2018 06:09 PM

During the same period, credit card and auto loan debt both fell as a percentage of outstanding consumer credit.



Economic Roundup: Confidence Is Key

01/08/2018 05:20 PM

Global business confidence started 2018 on a solid note.



High-Yield Bonds Rally Alongside Equities

01/05/2018 05:38 PM

Earnings-sensitive financial markets liked the December employment report's hint of earnings growth amid well-contained inflation expectations.



Economic Roundup: 2017 Was Impressive for the U.S. Economy

01/05/2018 05:16 PM

It was another strong year for job growth as gains averaged 171,000 per month.



Interest-Sensitive Shares Retreat Amid a New High for U.S. Equities

01/04/2018 05:48 PM

The risk of significantly higher interest rates may menace equity prices throughout much of 2018.



Economic Roundup: Weather May Eventually Muck With the U.S. Data

01/04/2018 05:27 PM

Unseasonably cold weather will have mixed impact.



Economic Roundup: U.S. Manufacturing's Solid Performance Isn't Over Yet

01/03/2018 05:31 PM

The ISM manufacturing index rose from 58.2 in November to 59.7 in December.



Equities Incurred a Relatively Brief and Shallow Sell-Off during 1994’s Bond Rout

01/03/2018 05:29 PM

Likewise, a steep jump by interest rates might weigh on 2018’s equity market, but the depth of any share-price decline will be comparatively shallow.



Economic Roundup: Strong End to 2017, Busy Start to 2018

01/02/2018 05:16 PM

Sentiment remained high and odds of recession low; fiscal challenges loom.