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Recent Commentaries | Safehaven.com





 



Q2 2017 Z.1 Report

Sat, 23 Sep 2017 06:29:35 +0000

I found the Fed's latest (Q2) Z.1 report particularly interesting. It brought back memories. In general, debt growth was steady and rather uninteresting. As such, it would be reasonable to equate the seemingly placid Credit backdrop with an ...



NZDUSD Elliott Wave View: Resuming Higher

Fri, 22 Sep 2017 09:47:30 +0000

NZDUSD Short Term Elliott Wave view suggests the rally from 8/31 low unfolded as a double three Elliott Wave structure



Fed QT Stocks, Gold Impact

Fri, 22 Sep 2017 09:26:41 +0000

This week’s landmark Federal Open Market Committee decision to launch quantitative tightening is one of the most-important and most-consequential actions in the Federal Reserve’s entire 104-year history



Is bitcoin reaching critical mass?

Wed, 20 Sep 2017 13:56:20 +0000

Global news on state regulation/adoption of bitcoin could be indicative of a near-future tipping point.



A Cryptocurrency Miner is Going Public…and it’s Huge

Mon, 18 Sep 2017 08:13:21 +0000

“The time has come for the blockchain and cryptocurrency sector to come together with public equity markets."



Monetary Disorder

Sat, 16 Sep 2017 07:33:31 +0000

Global Credit, Bubble and market analysis is turning more interesting.



The Most Hated Bull Market in History

Fri, 15 Sep 2017 05:27:27 +0000

It’s much easier to go with the price action and what it’s telling you to do than to fight it.



The Art of Bitcoin Adoption

Fri, 15 Sep 2017 05:09:32 +0000

Bitcoin as a payment option is steadily gaining steam among retailers, merchants, mega-corporations, and now, the art world



Elliot Wave Forecast - 09/14

Thu, 14 Sep 2017 12:49:06 +0000

DXY Dollar Index Short Term Elliott Wave view suggests that the Index ended Primary wave ((3)) at 91.01 and currently in a Primary wave ((4)) bounce.



Natural Disasters Have Not Caused a Single Muni Default: Moody’s

Thu, 14 Sep 2017 12:20:20 +0000

The combined recovery cost of Hurricanes Harvey and Irma is expected to set a new all-time high for natural disasters.



Why Will Bitcoin Succeed? How About Saving $140 billion in Bank Fees?

Thu, 14 Sep 2017 11:09:47 +0000

The global payments industry made $2.6 trillion in 2016, had $27 trillion sitting in accounts, and for each transactional processed across a national border, it cost an average of $25 to $35 for bank to process the transaction.



DXY Dollar Index Elliott Wave View: Turning Lower

Wed, 13 Sep 2017 10:52:10 +0000

DXY Dollar Index Short Term Elliott Wave view suggests that the decline from 8/16 peak is unfolding as an Ending Diagonal Elliott Wave structure



Hurricane Harvey aids Trump’s infrastructure spending program

Wed, 13 Sep 2017 10:51:45 +0000

It is widely believed that World War II gave us the end of the Great Depression. As a result, people have said for decades there is nothing like a wartime economy to bring recovery from economic recession.



Expect Mine Closures In This Key Gold Mining Nation

Wed, 13 Sep 2017 10:49:46 +0000

Major gold mining nation South Africa could see mine closures as a result of a much stricter mining code



Is a second Great Depression coming?

Wed, 13 Sep 2017 08:08:34 +0000

The Greenspan scenario of stagflation will not happen because its assumptions are an illusion. The most likely scenario is a depression, worse than the one in the 1930s because the level of debt is unprecedented.



DXY Dollar Index Elliott Wave View: Bearish below 93.36

Tue, 12 Sep 2017 07:44:12 +0000

DXY Dollar Index Short Term Elliott Wave view suggests that the decline from 8/16 peak is unfolding as an Ending Diagonal Elliott Wave structure



Initial Coin Offerings: How a Blind Squirrel Made a 714 percent Return

Mon, 11 Sep 2017 11:19:15 +0000

For a long time I have been passionately making a case against ICOs, but there are times in an investors life when you have to accept some things are worth the risk



Tragedy of the Speculations, Gold & Silver Report 10 Sep 2017

Mon, 11 Sep 2017 09:43:56 +0000

The Fed has us in a giant Skinner Box, programming us via falling interest to seek speculative gains, salivating like Pavlov’s Dogs at each rise in asset prices.



Major Gold-Stock Breakouts

Fri, 08 Sep 2017 14:04:12 +0000

The gold stocks are off to the races again, with big gains mounting. They just staged major breakouts, shattering a vexing consolidation that had trapped them for an entire year.



Deflation and the Markets; are deflationary forces here to stay

Fri, 08 Sep 2017 11:35:05 +0000

Manufacturing output continues to improve, even though the number of manufacturing jobs in the U.S. continues to decline and this trend will not stop.



Moscow's Crypto-Conundrum

Thu, 07 Sep 2017 13:09:39 +0000

Russia has taken some conflicting stances in its adoption of cryptocurrencies. As Russian interest in cryptocurrencies spikes, the government is scrambling to figure out how to deal with it.



Wednesday Report…Gold : The Anatomy of the Bottoming Process .

Thu, 07 Sep 2017 13:05:38 +0000

Two weeks ago already, the HUI broke above that very important SR line telling us the bulls were in charge after the bears held resistance keeping the bull in check.



Is Copper Signalling inflation or Higher Stock Market Prices

Wed, 06 Sep 2017 14:56:49 +0000

Many pundits associate higher copper prices with inflation. While this is true to a degree, that is the wrong metric to focus on.



Labour Day Weekend Bitcoin Brawl: East versus West

Wed, 06 Sep 2017 14:20:52 +0000

Bitcoin markets ran red with blood over the labour day weekend, causing a spread of six percent across Asian and U.S. bitcoin markets



AUD/USD - Elliot Wave Forecast - 09/06

Wed, 06 Sep 2017 09:04:35 +0000

AUDUSD Short Term Elliott Wave view suggests that the rally from 8/15 low is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure.



D.C. Dysfunction and Central Bank Chaos

Tue, 05 Sep 2017 08:21:42 +0000

On September 5th, the members of both houses of Congress of the United States will clean the beach sand from between their toes and return to work.



Technical market report for September 2, 2017

Mon, 04 Sep 2017 16:33:34 +0000

The sellers left town early last week. Volume disappeared, new lows disappeared and the secondaries outperformed the blue chips.



Gold Recap And Gold Outlook

Mon, 04 Sep 2017 16:07:03 +0000

What can we expect from the gold price in the near future? The demand overhang in physical gold will put upward pressure on the price. There is a good chance that gold will get to $1400 by the end of September.



Initial Coin Offerings are the Cryptocurrency Mania of 2017

Mon, 04 Sep 2017 09:11:55 +0000

ICO’s are one of the hottest investment opportunities in today’s market, but a general lack of understanding and fear of a bubble keeps some investors away



Strong Data and Conspicuous Bubble Excess

Sat, 02 Sep 2017 09:28:39 +0000

Analysis surrounding economic data is especially interesting these days. As always, there's ample opportunity to pick and choose data points to support a particular perspective.



Silver Miners’ Q2’17 Fundamentals

Fri, 01 Sep 2017 11:22:43 +0000

The silver miners’ stocks have largely languished this year, grinding sideways near lows for months on end.



What’s The Difference between Mining Bitcoin and Mining Precious Metals (for Investors)?

Thu, 31 Aug 2017 15:11:38 +0000

Both precious metals and bitcoins are extracted through a process of mining, but there is one key difference that sets bitcoin apart



Years Ending in 7 Stocks do this in October…

Thu, 31 Aug 2017 14:25:21 +0000

Stock market cycles do exist, and as we near the end of the latest cycle, investors should be preparing themselves for the upcoming bear market



Medical professionals catching blockchain fever

Thu, 31 Aug 2017 13:36:10 +0000

Few industries if any have embraced the Industry 4.0 era with as much zeal as healthcare. Recent years have seen modern hospitals take giant strides toward future-proofing their operations.



Dark Money In The Cryptocurrency Universe

Wed, 30 Aug 2017 14:31:12 +0000

There are many investors, and have been for a while, warning that bitcoin is in a bubble, but under closer inspection – there is no real evidence for these claims



An Introduction to Bitcoin, Crooks, and the Myth of Anonymous Transactions

Wed, 30 Aug 2017 14:27:55 +0000

Bitcoin itself has a market of $65 billion and the Market—with technologies like Blockbits—and police are making it a more legitimate business venue.



Not all Base Metals Want to Join the Bull Party

Wed, 30 Aug 2017 11:05:49 +0000

Aluminum, copper and zinc have moved in a solid bullish manner. While nickel has joined these three base metals, tin and lead seems to be more reticent to join the bull party.



SPX Elliot Wave View At Weekly Inflection Area

Tue, 29 Aug 2017 08:12:29 +0000

SPX SP 500 Long Term Elliott Wave view suggests that the Index has reached the minimum target at 2234.35 to end a big cycle from an all time low.



GLD …Break Out Day

Tue, 29 Aug 2017 08:11:02 +0000

Below is a short term daily chart for GLD which shows it breaking out above the top rail of the blue expanding triangle today.



Hurricane Harvey Tosses Global Oil Markets Into Chaos

Tue, 29 Aug 2017 05:30:45 +0000

The most powerful Hurricane to hit Texas in more than 50 years has devastated much of the coast, and the historic flooding is now causing havoc in the energy markets.



Technology, blockchain and the natural resource curse

Tue, 29 Aug 2017 05:29:48 +0000

The “paradox of plenty,” natural resources are both a gift and a curse to emerging economies. Rather than providing a flourishing economy, often the result of discovering an abundance of new resources is quite the opposite.



Hidden Forces of Economics, Gold & Silver Report 27 Aug 2017

Mon, 28 Aug 2017 09:14:29 +0000

If Keynes was alive today, he’d likely say not one man in a million would realize that bitcoin is the conversion of one person’s wealth into another’s income.



Market Turning Points - 08/28/2017

Mon, 28 Aug 2017 09:01:06 +0000

Precision timing for all time frames through a multi-dimensional approach to forecasting using Technical Analysis, Cycles, Breadth, PF, and Fibonacci price projections supplemented by Elliott Wave Analysis



Yellen in Jackson Hole

Sat, 26 Aug 2017 07:45:42 +0000

We'll see how resilient "the financial system" proves to be come the unmasking of risk market liquidity and safety misperceptions. It's a curious discussion of "Financial Stability a Decade after the Onset of the Crisis," ...



USDJPY Elliott Wave View Double Correction

Fri, 25 Aug 2017 09:00:01 +0000

hort term USDJPY Elliott wave view suggests the decline from 7/11 peak is unfolding as a double three Elliott wave structure.



In Defense of Free Trade Agreements

Thu, 24 Aug 2017 17:51:04 +0000

The Trump administration is right to worry about the loss of American jobs and to explore the reasons for trade imbalances.



Chinese Environmental Crackdown Could Lift Commodity Prices

Thu, 24 Aug 2017 08:17:36 +0000

A Chinese environmental crackdown could lead to higher prices for several commodities as imports are expected to increase



Elliott Wave USDJPY

Wed, 23 Aug 2017 13:37:37 +0000

Short term USDJPY Elliott wave view suggest that the decline from 7/11 peak is unfolding as a double three Elliott wave structure.



Is the Stock Market Setting itself up for a Spectacular Crash?

Wed, 23 Aug 2017 13:30:28 +0000

The stock market crash story is getting boring and annoying to a large degree. Since 2009, there has been a constant drumbeat of the market is going to crash stories.



This Critical Oil Price Divergence Could Boost US Exports

Wed, 23 Aug 2017 13:29:34 +0000

The gap between the two most important oil benchmarks has widened recently, a symptom of the shifting oil supply/demand dynamics between the U.S. and the rest of the world.