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Recent Commentaries | Safehaven.com





 



Gold Miners’ Status Updated

Mon, 15 Jan 2018 14:31:12 +0000

When the hysterics fade and inflation traders are one day sent to walk the plank then it will be time for the real distinct bull market in the PMs, probably after a flush of some degree with said inflation trade



How to Know If This Rally Will Continue for Two More Months

Mon, 15 Jan 2018 14:28:39 +0000

In theory, the Transportation Index is a measure of economic activity as related to the transportation of goods from port to distribution centers and from distribution centers to retail centers.



Technical market report for January 15, 2018

Mon, 15 Jan 2018 14:21:58 +0000

The market is overbought, but that does not seem to matter.



The Bitcoin Mining Industry Is Moving From China To Canada As Fast It Can

Mon, 15 Jan 2018 08:08:35 +0000

It’s the new goldrush, courtesy of tougher new policies by the Chinese government on cryptocurrency miners. Specifically, crypto-miners will no longer get preferential pricing when it comes to electricity.



Mania

Sat, 13 Jan 2018 07:32:57 +0000

This might be the most fascinating market backdrop of my career. Not yet as dramatic as 1987, 1990, 1994, 1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2002, 2007, 2008, 2009 or 2012 - but, heck, we're only two weeks into 2018 trading...



How China Is Locking Up Critical Resources In The US' Own Backyard

Fri, 12 Jan 2018 15:22:35 +0000

China, both through its enormous purchasing power, and its financial muscle that allows it to make substantial investments in mining and energy resources overseas, is assuming a position of world dominance in the commodities markets.



Semi Canary Still Chirping, But He’s Gonna Croak in 2018

Fri, 12 Jan 2018 15:17:48 +0000

Since January 2013 we have been using the worldwide Semiconductor Equipment industry as a leader within the Semiconductor sector, which is an economic cyclical leader itself.



Stock Selloffs Great for Gold

Fri, 12 Jan 2018 15:14:28 +0000

The stock markets have rocketed higher since Trump’s election win on hopes for big corporate tax cuts



The Fed’s 2% Inflation Target Is Pointless

Fri, 12 Jan 2018 15:13:19 +0000

Within the Federal Reserve sometime in 1996, a discussion took place among FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) members regarding the subject of inflation targeting.



Investors Abandon Hedges: Who Needs Em? The Stock Market Only Goes Up

Thu, 11 Jan 2018 15:24:31 +0000

With the stock market on a record tear, investors increasingly view hedges as a money-losing operation.



Gold – Technical Obfuscation, Fundamentals, Predictions

Thu, 11 Jan 2018 15:20:13 +0000

It is pretty much expected today that any investment analysis with justifiable conclusions will be steeped in technical study that includes lots of charts.



The Chartology of the $CDNX

Thu, 11 Jan 2018 15:17:48 +0000

There was no way anyone could have predicted that the current impulse move would start out like this one, but we did know that an impulse move would take place once the neckline was broken to the upside.



Japan Is The Center Of The Crypto-Revolution

Thu, 11 Jan 2018 15:10:29 +0000

It seems fear has faded. Bitcoin is thriving, and Japan has taken huge steps to set up infrastructure and regulation surrounding cryptocurrencies. Now, even large corporations are offering to pay employees in bitcoin.



Blockchain Tech Is Transforming The Energy Industry

Wed, 10 Jan 2018 16:00:00 +0000

Blockchain is more than just a buzzword. It truly has the potential to turn entire industries on their heads.



Valuing Bitcoin: Millennials' Fake Gold or "Something Else Entirely"?

Wed, 10 Jan 2018 15:19:35 +0000

Bitcoin is a symptom of the global financial bubble. Curiously, the global financial bubble has the exact same characteristics that Krieger says proves Bitcoin is not a bubble.



2018 Could Be Another Knockout Year For Emerging Europe

Wed, 10 Jan 2018 15:15:32 +0000

Domestic stocks were a great place to invest in 2017, but hopefully you didn’t overlook opportunities overseas.



Premiums on Coins, Bars, and Rounds May Finally Have Bottomed

Wed, 10 Jan 2018 15:11:40 +0000

Gold and silver premiums have been following the demand for physical metal lower in recent months. As investor selling ticked up, popular bullion products poured back into dealer inventories.



Gold – What Are We Waiting For?

Wed, 10 Jan 2018 15:08:03 +0000

Gold’s reign as the “next big thing” ended seven years ago. Too many people don’t want to admit that, but its true. Those who are ‘bullish’ on gold cannot let go.



The World’s Most Expensive Oil

Tue, 09 Jan 2018 16:33:14 +0000

When asked about the most expensive oil grade out there, those working in the oil industry are caught blindsided because there’s no easy way to answer this question.



Kodak Soars 77% on News it Will Launch "KodakCoin" Cryptocurrency

Tue, 09 Jan 2018 16:31:42 +0000

Kodak wants in on the blockchain hype. It announced its own cryptocurrency today, the KodakCoin.



Interest Rates Walking On Narrow Ledge

Tue, 09 Jan 2018 16:30:29 +0000

There is a huge shock in store for those who have been lulled to sleep by a stock market that has become accustomed to no volatility and only an upward direction.



Quantum Change in Gold Demand Continues, Report 7 Jan 2018

Tue, 09 Jan 2018 16:26:06 +0000

Wall Street sees a robust economy. We see a classic rising-risk-asset, borrow-to-spend, drive up GDP while it lasts boom: but we’re just eating our seed corn.



Market Turning Points - 01.09.2018

Tue, 09 Jan 2018 16:20:38 +0000

The bears had an opportunity to start correcting the uptrend that started at 2000 on June 27 which was, by the way, the two-day 113-point bottoming action of a 20-wk cycle.



SEC Chairman on altcoins and ICOs: Don’t trust, verify

Mon, 08 Jan 2018 18:24:19 +0000

Immediately preceding the Munchee’s ICO shutdown last month, SEC Chairman Jay Clayton produced a report offering surprisingly sound advice on cryptocurrency investments that even veterans in the space would agree with.



Gold-Stock Upside Huge

Mon, 08 Jan 2018 11:02:08 +0000

The gold miners’ stocks have huge upside potential in 2018, likely the best among stock-market sectors.



Technical market report for January 6, 2018

Mon, 08 Jan 2018 10:54:51 +0000

All of the major averages closed at all time highs last Friday.



Issue 2018: Market Structure

Sat, 06 Jan 2018 06:34:55 +0000

Financial conditions are much too loose. They remain too loose at home; they remain too loose abroad.



December Jobs Up 148K Following ADP 250K "Overheating" Estimate

Fri, 05 Jan 2018 10:44:01 +0000

Today’s establishment survey shows jobs rose by 148,000. The household survey (Table A) shows employment only rose by 104,000 while unemployment fell by 40,000.



2018 US Market Rally Is Just Starting

Fri, 05 Jan 2018 10:06:21 +0000

Imagine how much more successful 2018 would be for you if you knew what the rest of the year would look like?



Longer Cycles for Gold and the Dollar

Fri, 05 Jan 2018 09:18:34 +0000

Everything also has a Yearly Cycle Low (YCL) which is nothing more than two 5-6 mont ICLs. Cycles longer than one year, however, vary by asset.



The State of the Trend

Fri, 05 Jan 2018 09:15:52 +0000

The SPX closed 1% above our 2017 year-end high target posted here on January 1, 2017. Throughout the year, the index followed closely the 1 x 1 angle, and changed direction at anticipated cycle turning points.



Can We Maintain The Strength In The Metals Complex?

Fri, 05 Jan 2018 09:11:04 +0000

Expect the heart of a 3rd wave to commence in 2018, and provide some outsized gains in this complex for investors who have not been scared out of this market due to the frustrations the a 2nd wave retracement experienced in 2017.



Economists Think Inflation Will Rise Sharply in 2018: They're Wrong

Thu, 04 Jan 2018 16:34:29 +0000

Let's investigate six reasons economists think inflation is about to pick in 2018, and why I think they are dreaming.



Market Turning Points - 01.04.2017

Thu, 04 Jan 2018 16:26:16 +0000

The 20-wk cycle, whose low occurs in a few days, is likely to trigger the initial phase of a larger decline which should continue for many more weeks, probably in stages rather than all at once.



Quantum Change in Gold and Silver Demand, 4 Jan 2018

Thu, 04 Jan 2018 16:17:43 +0000

Something unusual happened in both the gold and silver markets on Thursday, and we are not referring to prices but the spread between spot and futures prices.



Crypto-Exchanges in Crisis: How Can You Get to Know 10 Million New People FAST?

Thu, 04 Jan 2018 08:24:24 +0000

There is no hotter market on the planet than the crypto-exchange sector. In fact, it’s so hot that other exchanges have given up and are not accepting new customers.



Can Blockchain Bring An End To Corruption?

Wed, 03 Jan 2018 16:05:23 +0000

Every year, many countries around the globe lose substantial sums of money due to corruption, but blockchain technology could offer a solution



Belarus just legalized bitcoin and granted miners tax exemption – here’s why

Wed, 03 Jan 2018 16:03:35 +0000

Bitcoin mania has made it to Minsk – and is showing no signs of slowing down as 2018 approaches.



What Does The Analyst Who Called For The 2016-2017 Market Rally Say About 2018?

Wed, 03 Jan 2018 10:39:30 +0000

If you are going to dust off your bear suit for 2018, please make sure to recognize that it will only be for a short-term engagement.



Oil Sees Strongest Start Of Year Since 2014

Tue, 02 Jan 2018 15:39:21 +0000

Brent crude and West Texas Intermediate started trading in 2018 above US$60 a barrel both for the first time since January 2014.



Stock Markets Hyper-Risky 2

Tue, 02 Jan 2018 15:34:23 +0000

The US stock markets enjoyed an extraordinary surge in 2017, shattering all kinds of records. This was fueled by hopes for big tax cuts soon since Republicans regained control of the US government.



State of the American Wallet: What's in Store for 2018?

Tue, 02 Jan 2018 15:29:25 +0000

As of June 2017, Americans had a record $1 trillion in revolving debt. Nonrevolving debt is growing even faster.



The Ghosts of Crashes Past, Recent, and Future as they Appeared on this Blog

Tue, 02 Jan 2018 15:26:47 +0000

t’s not boasting to state plainly that you were right if you are equally direct about your errors. I have until now rightly predicted all of the stock market’s major downturns, starting with the one in 2007 that gave us the Great Recession.



Ten Predictions for Cryptocurrency (and Bitcoin) for 2018: Boom, Bust, Tulip Drinking Games and the Singularity Cometh

Tue, 02 Jan 2018 07:40:18 +0000

2017 was the year cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology went mainstream… or at least tried to.



A Phenomenal Year

Sat, 30 Dec 2017 07:44:18 +0000

Bull markets forever. Capitalism without downturns. Enlightened monetary management coupled with stupendous technological innovation. It all came together to ensure a phenomenal 2017. Enjoy, but don't for a minute allow yourself to ...



From One Inflection Point To Another

Fri, 29 Dec 2017 16:38:06 +0000

Ever since we broke down below the upper support region back in early September, and invalidated an immediate break-out set up, we have been looking for the GDX to test the 21 region.



How are China’s bitcoin enthusiasts getting around the government’s regulations?

Fri, 29 Dec 2017 09:08:48 +0000

What happens when one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency traders suddenly shuts its doors? In the past few months, China has been finding out.



What Drove WTI Above $60?

Fri, 29 Dec 2017 09:07:39 +0000

WTI briefly broke above $60 per barrel on news that a pipeline in Libya exploded, knocking a sizable portion of supply offline.



New Home Sales Spike Most in 25 Years: What's Going On?

Thu, 28 Dec 2017 10:46:07 +0000

New home sales rose a whopping 17.5%, the strongest gain since 1992 and the most homes sold in one month since 2007.



The Bitcoin Effect, Gold and Silver Report 28 Dec 2017

Thu, 28 Dec 2017 10:41:27 +0000

Is bitcoin or interest rates causing the falling gold price trend?