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ETFs



TheStreet.com's coverage of issues affecting ETFs. Get the inside track on funds, tips for successfully investing in ETFs as well as news on the days winners and losers.



Published: Mon, 11 Apr 2016 12:33:00 GMT

Last Build Date: Mon, 11 Apr 2016 12:33:00 GMT

Copyright: 1996-2016 TheStreet.com, Inc.
 



Better Sell Now While the Bear Is Taking a Breather

Mon, 11 Apr 2016 12:30:00 GMT

The weekly charts for five major equity averages are positive but their dynamics differ. With stocks riding high right now, this could be your best time to sell before the inevitable return of the bear market. The Dow Jones Industrial Average can be traded using the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF , aka Diamonds. This exchange-traded fund has a positive but overbought weekly chart and shows a series of lower highs going back to its all-time high of $183.35 set almost a year ago on May 20. The S&P 500 can be traded using the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust , aka Spiders. This ETF has a positive but overbought weekly chart and also shows a series of lower highs going back to its all-time high of $213.78 set on May 20. The Nasdaq Composite is best traded using the ETF that represents the Nasdaq 100, the PowerShares QQQ Trust ETF , dubbed QQQ. While the Nasdaq peaked on July 20, this ETF did not set its all-time high of $115.75 until Dec. 2, thanks to the strength of Jim Cramer's FANG stocks. The weekly chart for the QQQ is positive, not yet overbought. The Dow Jones Transportation Average can be traded using the iShares Transportation Average ETF . The transportation ETF has a positive but overbought weekly chart and shows a series of lower highs going back to its all-time high of $167.80 set on Nov. 28, 2014. A warning is that the transportation sector is in correction territory 16.9% below its November 2014 high. The Russell 2000 can be traded using the iShares Russell 2000 ETF . The small-cap ETF has a positive weekly chart that will likely become overbought this week. The Russell 2000 set its all-time of $129.10 on June 24 and shows a series of lower highs since then. The Russell 2000 provides a warning as the small cap index is in correction territory 15.3% below the all-time high. Here are the daily charts and trading levels for the five stock market ETFs. Diamonds Courtesy of MetaStock Xenith The daily chart for Diamonds shows the Fibonacci retracement from the May 20 all-time high of $183.35 and the Aug. 24 low of $150.57. The key levels to hold on weakness are the 200-day simple moving average (in green) at $171.04 and its 61.8% retracement of $170.79. Investors looking to buy Diamonds should consider doing so on weakness to $165.07, which is a key level on technical charts until the end of April. Investors looking to reduce holdings should do so on strength to $182.24, which is a key levels on technical charts until the end of June. This potential upside is shy of the all-time high of $183.35 set on May 20. Spiders Courtesy of MetaStock Xenith The daily chart for Spiders shows the Fibonacci retracement from the May 20 all-time high of $213.78 and the Jan. 20 low of $181.02. The key levels to hold on weakness are the 200-day simple moving average (in green) at $201.50 and its 61.8% retracement of $201.31. Investors looking to buy Spiders should consider doing so on weakness to $191.26, which is a key level on technical charts until the end of April. Investors looking to reduce holdings should do so on strength to $216.41 and $216.80, which are key levels on technical charts until and end of this week and the end of June, respectively. This implies that a potential new all-time high is feasible, above the May 20 high of $213.78. QQQ Courtesy of MetaStock Xenith The daily chart for QQQ shows the Fibonacci retracement from the Dec. 2 all-time high of $115.75 and the Feb. 8 low of $94.84. The key levels to hold on weakness are the 200-day simple moving average (in green) at $107.75 and its 61.8% retracement of $107.78. The April 6 high of $110.71 (the 2016 high) for QQQ was below the price gap from the Dec. 31 low of $111.84. Investors looking to buy QQQ should consider doing so on weakness to $103.67, which is a key level on technical charts until the end of April. Investors looking to reduce holdings should do so on strength to $115.35, which is a key level on technical charts until the end of this week. Transports Courtesy of MetaStock Xenith The daily chart for the transportation ETF shows the Fibonacci retrac[...]



Fed’s Dovish Talk a Tailwind for High Yield

Thu, 17 Mar 2016 17:51:00 GMT

High yield bonds have made a massive comeback in the past month, especially considering the pressure that still remains on the energy issuers.

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Trust These ETFs to Track Market Trends

Thu, 17 Mar 2016 16:44:00 GMT

The 200 day moving average of the Wilshire U.S. Large-Cap Total Return Index has traditionally been a reliable indicator for the direction stocks are trending.

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Four ETFs For Low Volatility Value Investors

Wed, 16 Mar 2016 19:51:00 GMT

There is a reason why value has overtaken growth this year in the ETF space.

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Cheap Airline Stocks Ready for Takeoff

Wed, 16 Mar 2016 18:57:00 GMT

The U.S. Global Jets ETF launched successfully almost a year ago, quickly pulling in over $50 million in assets.

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Jim Cramer on Why a Company's Gender Diversity Matters for Investor

Fri, 11 Mar 2016 17:45:00 GMT

TheStreet’s Jim Cramer says investors should be a little bit more circumspect of companies that don’t promote women or have them on their boards.

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A New Way to Invest in Gender Diversity – and Make Money

Thu, 10 Mar 2016 22:59:00 GMT

Gender diversity in corporate leadership makes for better business decisions, according to Christopher Ailman of the CalSTRS pension fund.

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Underweight Stocks as Long as Trump, Sanders Still Running

Wed, 09 Mar 2016 18:28:00 GMT

The growing support for anti-establishment candidates like Donald Trump and Senator Bernie Sanders will increasingly translate into higher degrees of market volatility.

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Jim Cramer Reflects on the Seventh Anniversary of the Bull Market

Wed, 09 Mar 2016 16:36:00 GMT

TheStreet’s Jim Cramer reflects on the seven year anniversary of the bull market on Wall Street, and why for many investors, it doesn’t feel like one.

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Gold Still Up But Needs One More Pullback - Grant Williams

Tue, 08 Mar 2016 21:02:00 GMT

Although gold’s rally so far this year is promising, one popular newsletter writer says he expects one final leg down in prices from here.

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International Women's Day Leads to Girl Power on Wall Street

Tue, 08 Mar 2016 20:17:00 GMT

There was Girl Power all over Wall Street on Tuesday, as women in the financial industry marked International Women’s Day by ringing the opening bell at the NYSE.

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Time to Cash in Your Gold Trade? Sprott’s Rick Rule Comments

Mon, 07 Mar 2016 17:38:00 GMT

TORONTO (Kitco News) - Gold prices are still on the rise, up over 19% year to date, with some investors now questioning whether or not they have missed their chance to get in on the action. However, according to one veteran gold investor, the 'real move' in gold is yet to come. 'If this rally falters a little bit, some people will say it's over and miss the real move, which I believe is to come,' Rick Rule, president & CEO of Sprott U.S. Holdings, told Kitco News at the Prospectors & Developers Association of Canada in Toronto on Sunday. 'What we need to understand right now is that institutional investors have to be in the gold space because it's the only sector that's working,' he said. Gold prices have been on the rise since the start of the year and managed to hit a 13-month high over $1,280 an ounce last week. The metal has come off slightly Monday, with April Comex gold futures last down $3.40 at $1,267.20 an ounce. Despite the longer-term optimism, Rule said he expects gold prices to retreat from here. 'I don't think in the near term this rally is sustainable; my suspicion is that gold will pull back before it goes forward,' he said. Rule argued that the recent rally in gold prices as well as in mining stocks was overdue simply because both, especially the latter, were in oversold territory. However, it may now be a smart time to cash in, especially in the junior-mining sector, he noted. 'If you're investing in the smaller end of the market, you need to understand that some of these juniors, if they've doubled, it's probably prudent to sell half and talk some money off the table and take a free ride on the rest,' he said. The Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners exchange-traded fund (GDXJ), a popular measurement to gauge the state of the sector, is up nearly 45% this year and managed to hit a one-year high last week. It was last up $1.29, or 4.76%, at $28.40. Rule's preference in the industry remains the streaming and royalty companies. 'In a rising gold-price environment, the most marginal producer does the best,' he explained. 'Streamers have the best margins so they're the least leveraged.' As a final thought, he warned that investors need to understand that despite the excitement with the recent uptick in prices, the gold market could have 'ugly' cyclical declines. 'It's important, if you have the liquidity and the courage, to stay this trade,' he said. Attracting more than 30,000 attendees, the PDAC is known as the world's largest mining conference and will from March 6 to 9 this year. Click to view a price quote on GC. [...]



Gold's Next 10% Move Is Down, Not Up

Mon, 07 Mar 2016 15:30:00 GMT

Gold has been on a tear since the start of this year. It is one of the best performing assets so far with a 16% rise in two months. However, if you are planning to enter gold at these current levels, you are likely in for a big surprise. Gold is overbought and technical analysis is pointing to a drop in gold price to the $1,150-per-ounce level, a good 10% lower from current levels. The equity markets are in a bounce-rally mode and likely to remain buoyant till end of March. Oil prices, which were causing a scare worldwide, are also on the mend, and the bottom is likely in place at $26-per-barrel. The jobs data from this month has given a green signal to the Federal Reserve to move ahead with the next proposed rate hike. Whether we see a hike this meeting or next is difficult to assess, but the U.S. Dollar will likely trade with a bullish bias as long as the chance of a rate hike remains on the table. A strong dollar dims the sheen on the yellow metal, if the dollar continues to remain strong, gold will likely come off towards our target low area of $1,150. Technically, gold has risen from its lows without any retracement, as shown in the chart below. Though gold has broken out of its long-term downtrend, market participants should remain cautious on it. Many bulls will want to pocket their profits as gold is nearing a resistance area. The bears will enter shorts closer to resistance. With both of these events coinciding together, gold will retrace back to its breakout level. The bulls will buy closer to $1,190, which was the earlier resistance, they will attempt to defend the level and support the market. The market can either take support at $1,190 or drop down towards $1,150 area to shake out many long positions before rising again. Take a look at my gold cycle analysis. The pink line is a blend of multiple cycles and follows the actual price very closely and allows me to predict into the future if the bias will be downward or rising. Both Societe Generale and Goldman Sachs are negative on gold with targets of $1,150 and $1,000, respectively. I totally disagree with them on their longer bearish views: I am not bearish on gold from a longer-term perspective. Gold price will make new highs in the coming months, however, the next 10% move for gold is down rather than up. Enter long positions close to the bottom in order to maximize gains. So wait, for the right time to enter, closer to $1,150-to-$1,190 levels. It will be the last opportunity to buy gold before it embarks on a new long-term bull trend. [...]



Watch Stocks Drop After Yellen's Press Conference

Mon, 07 Mar 2016 13:49:00 GMT

The five major U.S. equity averages continue to rally off their Jan. 20 lows of 15,450.56 on the Dow Jones Industrial Average and 6,403,31 on the Dow Jones Transportation Average, and the Feb. 11 lows of 1,810.10 for the S&P 500 , 4,209.78 for the Nasdaq Composite , and 943.10 on the Russell 2000. These gains, going into the next Federal Reserve meeting March 15-16 range from 10.4% for Dow industrials to 20.7% for Dow transports. Markets always do well before a Fed meeting, the charts show. But once that meeting takes place and the Fed chief -- in this case Janet Yellen -- holds a press conference, the pre-meeting rally gains tend to disappear in a hurry. Remember, all five averages are still below their 200-day simple moving averages of 17,182 Dow industrials, 2,023.0 S&P 500, 4,889 Nasdaq, 7,875 Dow transports and 1,156.34. The exchange-traded funds that represent the major averages face the same moving average barriers and new Fibonacci retracements as described below. What to do? Let's look at the charts for the exchange-traded funds that allow you to trade these exchanges like a stock. We'll start with the daily chart for the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF , aka Diamonds. Courtesy of MetaStock Xenith The daily chart for Diamonds shows the Fibonacci retracements from the all-time high of $183.35 set on May 20 to the Aug. 24 "Black Monday" low of $150.57. Note how the ETF ended 2015 below its 200-day simple moving average (green line) then at $175.23. Note also how the ETF cascaded below the four horizontal lines that represent the 61.8% retracement of $170.79, the 50% retracement of $166.92, the 38.2% retracement of $163.05 and the 23.6% retracement of $158.26 to the 2016 low of $154.38 set on Jan. 20. After a near double-bottom on Feb. 11, Diamonds played hop-scotch moving back above the retracements on expectations of positive reaction to the March 15-16 FOMC Statement and comments by Fed-Chair Janet Yellen during her press conference following the Fed meeting. Diamonds ended last week at $170.02 down 2.3% year to date and 10.1% above the year-to-date low, and below the 61.8% retracement of $170.79 and the 200-day simple moving average at $171.74. Investors looking to buy Diamonds should consider doing so on weakness to $163.40, which is a key level on technical charts for the remainder of March. Investors looking to reduce holdings should do so on strength to $177.66 another key level for the remainder of March. Here's the daily chart for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust , aka Spiders. Courtesy of MetaStock Xenith The daily chart for Spiders shows the Fibonacci retracements from the all-time high of $213.78 set on May 20 to the Jan. 20 low of $181.02. Note how the ETF ended 2015 below its 200-day simple moving average (green line) then at $206.20. Note also how the ETF January decline established 61.8% retracement of $201.31, the 50% retracement of $197.44, the 38.2% retracement of $193.57 and the 23.6% retracement of $188.79 to the 2016 low of $181.02 set on Jan. 20. After a double-bottom on Feb. 11, Spiders weaved their way back above the retracements on FOMC expectations. Spiders ended last week at $200.43 down just 1.7% year to date and 10.7% above the year-to-date low, and below the 61.8% retracement of $201.31 and the 200-day simple moving average at $202.42. Investors looking to buy Spiders should consider doing so on weakness to $194.40, which is a key level on technical charts for the remainder of March. Investors looking to reduce holdings should do so on strength to $214.63 another key level for the remainder of March. Here's the daily chart and how to trade the PowerShares QQQ Trust ETFa . Courtesy of MetaStock Xenith The daily chart for QQQ[...]



Mining Magnate Pierre Lassonde Says This Will Be Gold’s Main Driver

Fri, 04 Mar 2016 22:18:00 GMT

Sitting with Kitco News at the BMO Metals & Mining Conference, mining magnate Pierre Lassonde says he remains positive on gold in the coming year.

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Diversification the Key in New Legg Mason ETFs

Thu, 03 Mar 2016 19:17:00 GMT

Legg Mason launched its suite of smart-beta ETFs at the end of December, right before the market sank into turmoil.

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Don’t Abandon Gold for Miners Too Quickly

Thu, 03 Mar 2016 17:40:00 GMT

The price of gold may be flying so far in 2016, but the yellow metal is still trailing the miners plucking it from the ground.

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Coke, P&G, Walmart -- Buy Them Separately or Through an ETF?

Wed, 02 Mar 2016 13:16:00 GMT

The consumer represents about 65% of the U.S. economy. That means if you are an investor you should always have some assets allocated to stocks in the consumer staples sector. But how much do you want to own?aOne way of spreading the risk is to own the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund , which consists of 38 stocks. This exchange-traded fundahas gained 1.8% year to date after setting an all-time high of $51.96 on Feb. 26. Of its 38 stocks, three familiar names are among the ETF's top six components. They are also components of the Dow Jones Industrial Average athat, along with the S&P 500 , have declined so far this year. Those familiar names are Coca-Cola , Procter & Gamble and Walmart . The latter two are members of the 2016 Dogs of the Dow, which are outperforming with year-to-date gains of 2.3% and 8.4%, respectively. Are you better off owning these three stocks alone or holding them through the ETF? Let's take a look at the scorecard for the consumer staples ETFaand these three components with their ETF weightings. a Here's the weekly chart for the consumer staples ETF. Courtesy of MetaStock Xenith The consumer staples ETF closed Tuesday at $51.41, up 1.8% year to date and is 8.5% above its 2016 low of $47.39 set on Jan. 20. The weekly chart is positive with the ETF above its key weekly moving average of $50.43 and well above its 200-week simple moving average of $43.32. The weekly momentum reading is projected to rise to 74.02 this week up from 68.41 on Feb. 26. Investors looking to buy XLP should place a good till canceled limit order to buy the ETF if it drops to $49.53 and $46.64, which are key levels on technical charts until the end of this week and to the end of 2016, respectively. Investors looking to reduce holdings should place a GTC limit order to sell the ETF if it rises to $51.78 and $55.07, which are key levels on technical charts until the end of March and to the end of 2016, respectively. Here's the daily chart for Coca-Cola (9.23% ETF weighting). Courtesy of MetaStock Xenith Coca-Cola closed Tuesday at $43.69, up 1.7% year to date and is 7.2% above its 2016 low of $40.75 set on Jan. 20. The weekly chart is positive with the stock above its key weekly moving average of $43.00 and above its 200-week simple moving average of $40.25. The weekly momentum reading is projected to rise to 72.59 this week up from 67.06 on Feb. 26. Investors looking to buy Coca-Cola should place a good till canceled limit order to buy the stock if it drops to $41.47 and $41.29, which are key levels on technical charts until the end of 2016 and the end of March, respectively. Investors looking to reduce holdings should place a GTC limit order to sell the stock if it rises to $44.69 and $46.46, which are key levels on technical charts until the end of March and the end of June, respectively. Here's the weekly chart for Procter & Gamble (11.95% ETF weighting). Courtesy of MetaStock Xenith Procter & Gamble closed Tuesday at $81.23, up 2.3% year to date and is 9.1% above its 2016 low of $74.46 set on Jan. 20. The weekly chart is positive with the stock above its key weekly moving average of $80.15 and above its 200-week simple moving average of $77.80. The weekly momentum reading is projected to rise to 77.87 this week up from 76.33 on Feb. 26. Investors looking to buy Procter & Gamble should place a good till canceled limit order to buy the stock if it drops to $75.58 and $71.62, which are key levels on technical charts until the end of March and the end of 2016, respectively. Investors looking to reduce holdings should place a GTC limit order to [...]



U.S. Stocks Will Rally Until Janet Yellen's Press Conference

Tue, 01 Mar 2016 15:48:00 GMT

The five major U.S. equity averages ended February with mixed technical profiles. The Dow Jones Transportation Average and Russell 2000 are in bear market territory, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq Composite are in correction territory. The S&P 500 is just shy of correction territory. However, there is a new wrinkle this month -- the Federal Reserve meeting March 15-16. Stocks are expected to rally up until the time Janet Yellen takes the podium to announce the Fed's latest policy statement, which could include another rise in interest rates. The market then peaks with a lower high following the latest Fed statement. The all-important weekly charts show the technicals are neutral, indicating the January or February lows are the base of trading ranges, while key levels cap strength well below the all-time highs. The weekly charts are positive but new monthly levels imply up and down, "risk-on" and "risk-off" trading sessions. Key levels for March are 16,338 on the Dow 30, 1,937.1 on the S&P 500, 4,663 Nasdaq, 7,321 Dow transports and 989.99 Russell 2000. The overall neutral zone is thus between 989.99 on the small cap average and 4,663 on the broader tech-heavy Nasdaq. Other influential levels are an annual level of 4,238 for the Nasdaq, 7,569 on transports and 1,042.61 on small caps. Here are the weekly charts for the corresponding exchange-traded funds that best represent the five major averages. Here's the weekly chart for the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF , aka Diamonds. Courtesy of MetaStock Xenith The weekly chart for Diamonds ended last week positive and will remain so given a close on Friday above its key weekly moving average of $164.96. Its 200-week simple moving average of $158.49 is a key level to hold on weakness. The weekly momentum reading is projected to rise to 36.69 this week up from 33.00 on Feb. 26. Investors looking to buy Diamonds should enter a good till canceled limit order to buy this ETF if it drops to $163.40, which is a key level on technical charts until the end of March. Investors looking to reduce holdings should enter a GTC limit order to sell this ETF if it rises to $177.66, which is another key level on technical charts until the end of March. Here's the weekly chart for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust , aka Spiders. Courtesy of MetaStock Xenith The weekly chart for Spiders ended last week positive and will remain so given a close on Friday above a key weekly moving average of $193.47. Its 200-week simple moving average of $179.91 is a key level to hold on weakness. The weekly momentum is projected to rise to 35.61 this week up from 30.81 on Feb. 26. Investors looking to buy Spiders should enter a good till canceled limit order to buy this ETF if it declines to $178.51, which is a key level on technical charts until the end of this week. Investors looking to reduce holdings should enter a GTC limit order to sell this ETF if it rises to $214.64, which is a key level on technical charts until the end of March. A key level of $194.21 should be a magnet until the end of March. Here's the weekly chart and how to trade the PowerShares QQQ Trust ETF . Courtesy of MetaStock Xenith The weekly chart for the QQQ's ended last week positive and will remain so given a close on Friday above its key weekly moving average of $103.12. Its 200-week simple moving average of $88.12 is a key level to hold on weakness. The weekly momentum reading is projected to rise to 30.51 this week up from 26.15 on Feb. 26. Investors looking to buy QQQs should enter a good ti[...]



Emerging Market Debt Holders Beware

Mon, 29 Feb 2016 20:47:00 GMT

Investors hunting for better yields amidst rock bottom rates in established markets have caused the amount of emerging market corporate debt in the global market to explode.

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