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ESPN: NFL's Five Best Second-Contract Sleepers

Fri, 24 Feb 2017 16:01:32 -0500

Rivers McCown looks at five players who could be a little undervalued on the free agent market based on past play and athletic profile.

NFL Announces 32 Compensatory Draft Choices to 16 Clubs

Fri, 24 Feb 2017 15:22:12 -0500

The NFL has announced the compensatory picks in the 2017 draft based on 2016 free agency losses. Big winners this year are the Bengals, Browns, Broncos, and Chiefs, who get four extra draft picks each. The Seahawks also deserve notice -- they only get two compensatory picks, but both are in the third round. They are the only team with two third-rounders.

Starting this year, compensatory picks can also be traded, so this is potentially a big story for all teams.

Four Downs: NFC South

Fri, 24 Feb 2017 11:29:24 -0500

The Panthers need tackles, the Saints need pass-rushers, the Bucs need a safety, while the conference champs need help on... offense?

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Four Downs: NFC West

Thu, 23 Feb 2017 11:35:27 -0500

Our postseason look at the biggest weakness on each team starts out west, where offensive (and kicking) talent has proven to be in short supply.

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Failed Completions 2016

Tue, 21 Feb 2017 07:12:57 -0500

The 2016 study of failed completions finds an undesirable record for Joe Flacco, and praise for... Matt Barkley? Also: another depressing Rams sequel, Matt Ryan's weak spot, gadget receivers, and Tom Coughlin's teams are on the rise.

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20 Plays Every NFL Coach Should Steal

Thu, 16 Feb 2017 15:59:35 -0500

Great X & O piece today by Matt Bowen, breaking down 20 plays run by NFL teams that other NFL teams should probably steal. Obviously, not every team is going to run the Titans' or Patriots' QB sweep, but there's a lot of good stuff in here. I'm particularly fond of the Seahawks' 3 Mable to deal with trips.

Postseason QB Drive Stats and DVOA

Wed, 15 Feb 2017 15:34:14 -0500

Where does Matt Ryan rank among playoff quarterbacks now? Was 2016 even a top-five postseason in Tom Brady's career? Scott Kacsmar's annual look at playoff drive stats also includes the first look at 1986-88 postseason DVOA.

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2016 Football Outsiders Awards

Mon, 13 Feb 2017 13:04:48 -0500

It's our annual list of the best, the worst, and the most unforgettable, as voted by you, the readers. 2016 was a great year for the Patriots, the Falcons, the Cowboys, and Tecmo Bo nostalgia.

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The Week In Quotes: February 10, 2017

Fri, 10 Feb 2017 15:50:02 -0500

Five days later, people on both sides are still getting over the Super Bowl.

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Neural Networks Predict NFL HOF Chances for QB/RB

Thu, 09 Feb 2017 12:11:05 -0500

In case you didn't see this at ESPN or catch him talking about it on Twitter, Brian Burke's model of Hall of Fame chances using neural networks is kind of fascinating. This article talks about the HOF chances of top current players; Matt Ryan basically would have gone from "almost no chance" to "almost assured" with a Super Bowl win. It also discusses which HOF QB and RB are outliers, starting with Floyd Little and the newly elected Terrell Davis. Davis seems to suggest a change in voting trends to make running backs more like quarterbacks.

ESPN: Best Super Bowl Runners-Up

Thu, 09 Feb 2017 11:53:30 -0500

Inspired by Brian Fremeau's similar article on losers of the NCAA National Championship, here's a look at the best Super Bowl losers of the last 25 years according to DVOA. These ratings include the playoffs and remove "sit the starters" games. You know the 2007 Patriots are No. 1 but No. 2 and No. 3 are probably a surprise. And, honestly... I may need to look into why we have the 2001 Rams so low next time I go to improve the system.

ESPN: Which Teams Should Go After Romo?

Thu, 09 Feb 2017 11:14:20 -0500

Which teams should be in the market for Tony Romo's services?

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Scramble for the Ball: Disbelief

Wed, 08 Feb 2017 11:03:07 -0500

Your Scramble writers are still trying to come to grips with what exactly happened Sunday night. Also: the most exciting Super Bowls in history, results of our various playoff contests, and a whole mess of commercials in the final Scramble for the 2016 season.

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Clutch Encounters: Super Bowl LI

Mon, 06 Feb 2017 15:39:47 -0500

Greatest comeback, or greatest collapse in Super Bowl history? Where did the Falcons go wrong? Also: the Patriots have become the NFL's hardest kill. Better adjust the win probability models again.

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Super Bowl LI DVOA/Quick Reads

Mon, 06 Feb 2017 14:06:19 -0500

The Falcons offense achieves a balance of first-down mastery and third-down misery that may be unprecedented in DVOA history. Plus: James White and Julio Jones are your players of the game.

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Audibles at the Line: Super Bowl LI

Mon, 06 Feb 2017 00:21:28 -0500

Seriously, did that really happen!?

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Scott Kacsmar's Super Bowl LI Preview

Sun, 05 Feb 2017 05:15:02 -0500

Just what the internet needed: another Super Bowl LI preview, this time from Scott Kacsmar.

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NFL Honors: 2016 Award Winners

Sat, 04 Feb 2017 19:48:56 -0500

The NFL Honors reveals the award winners for the 2016 season.

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2017 Pro Football Hall of Fame Class Announced

Sat, 04 Feb 2017 19:38:29 -0500

The 2017 Pro Football Hall of Fame class is revealed.

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ESPN: Sneaky Stats to Swing Super Bowl LI

Fri, 03 Feb 2017 12:39:01 -0500

Here's another Super Bowl LI preview from us. We're looking at a number of under-the-radar stats that will affect the game, including: the Patriots' excellent yards after catch average, which quarterback should get blitzed, and whether Matt Ryan has a strong history with fourth-quarter comebacks.