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Last Build Date: Mon, 20 Feb 2017 18:20:04 +0000


Comment on New report: Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016 by Mal Adapted

Mon, 20 Feb 2017 18:20:04 +0000

The latest report Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016 from the European Environment Agency (EEA) ... ‘Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016’ may be relevant to other continents than Europe, even if it has a regional focus.
No kidding. Thanks for the post, Rasmus. It's good to see Europe, at least, is publishing official documents like that one. What it might look like coming from the current US administration, is the stuff of nightmares. The Executive Summary is rather good IMO. Conclusions from climate science are stated concisely, but with complexities acknowledged. With a little searching-and-replacing, much of it applies equally well to the US. My favorite bullet (emphasis original):
The magnitude of future climate change and its impacts from the middle of the century onwards depend on the effectiveness of global climate mitigation efforts.
It's a one-sentence climate model and policy guide.

Comment on Unforced Variations: Feb 2017 by mike

Mon, 20 Feb 2017 17:35:24 +0000

anybody notice that a few republicans have proposed a carbon tax? The Rs are the people in charge. Nice to see some of them acknowledge AGW and suggest something to address the problem. Mike

Comment on Serving up a NOAA-thing burger by Charles Hughes

Mon, 20 Feb 2017 06:43:55 +0000

Thomas says: 15 Feb 2017 at 9:42 PM Hey Thomas! I know you need something to do with all of your free time. Your talents are desperately needed:

Comment on Unforced Variations: Feb 2017 by Victor

Mon, 20 Feb 2017 04:25:02 +0000

Comment on Unforced Variations: Feb 2017 by chris korda

Mon, 20 Feb 2017 02:46:04 +0000

Interesting critique of current Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs): "Over the last two centuries, the impact of the Human System has grown dramatically, becoming strongly dominant within the Earth System in many different ways. Consumption, inequality, and population have increased extremely fast, especially since about 1950, threatening to overwhelm the many critical functions and ecosystems of the Earth System. Changes in the Earth System, in turn, have important feedback effects on the Human System, with costly and potentially serious consequences. However, current models do not incorporate these critical feedbacks. We argue that in order to understand the dynamics of either system, Earth System Models must be coupled with Human System Models through bidirectional couplings representing the positive, negative, and delayed feedbacks that exist in the real systems." "... about 50 percent of the world’s people live on less than $3 per day, 75 percent on less than $8.50, and 90 percent on less than $23. One effect of this inequality is that the top 10 percent produce almost as much total carbon emissions as the bottom 90 percent combined. ... even if per capita emissions stabilize or decline in the developed countries, population growth in ... wealthy countries will remain a major driver of future increases in resource use and emissions." Modeling sustainability: population, inequality, consumption, and bidirectional coupling of the Earth and Human Systems Safa Motesharrei, Jorge Rivas, Eugenia Kalnay et al. Natl Sci Rev (2016)

Comment on New report: Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016 by Thomas

Sun, 19 Feb 2017 22:04:34 +0000

11 Mr. Knows Jack Shit says: Hail Storms aren’t frequent, and they’re probably isolated, but they do happen. As opposed to the lies which are happening 24/7/365 as the world keeps spinning on it's axis flooded by the distortions, the gross disinformation and the delusional illogical commentaries by fools and idiots regarding AGW/CC science with their wild eyed conspiracy theories that climate science is a massive deceptive fraud upon the whole world to bring about a one world totalitarian government by mad leftie environmentalists and hippie anarchists high on mushies. Their cunning evil and mind control powers over pliable gullible people like say Gavin and 30,000 others in climate science is like wow, gosh, gee whiz weally incwedible. Yeah 'Hail' happens. It's wike weally important to know that.

Comment on Serving up a NOAA-thing burger by Thomas

Sun, 19 Feb 2017 21:45:07 +0000

108 Fred Magyar; I'm simply too old and wise to bother wasting my time Fred. Believe whatever you wish because you do and will anyway. (shrug)

Comment on Unforced Variations: Feb 2017 by S.B. Ripman

Sun, 19 Feb 2017 19:26:48 +0000

This comes from a non-scientist living in Southern California. A couple of points: 1. The difference between climate and weather cannot be stressed enough. In our area, after 4 years of unrelenting drought, we had great hope in the winter of 2015/16 when it was announced that a big El Nino was happening. But it was a bust again: about half the average precipitation; summer-like day after summer-like day; no help for the dwindling reservoirs. Now here we are in winter 2016/17 and the world is experiencing a light La Nina and historically that’s a time when SoCal typically gets less than average precip. We were expecting another pathetic winter and instead it’s been raining like mad, the Sierras are buried in snow, the reservoirs are filled to overflowing and our valleys are as green as Ireland. What’s going on? According to a couple of forecasters I follow, the jet stream has a split in it somewhere up by the Aleutians and this just randomly happens sometimes during La Ninas and when it does happen it can steer abundant moisture our way. In summary the point is this: that when entire seasons can vary wildly based on random factors, one should be extremely hesitant to draw conclusions about the climate from isolated weather events. 2. Don’t underestimate the convictions of the supporters of Mr. Trump and don’t wishfully hope that their priorities for this nation are at all similar to yours. We have friends who are Evangelicals and have attended some group meetings of theirs and it is crystal clear that to them (a) our country is going down the drain (and their children and grandchildren are at grave risk) mostly because of a decline in church attendance, and (b) the election of Mr. Trump was a miracle ordained by God (because America has a special place in God’s heart and he wishes to save it from its decline, and because they prayed for him). To them the country’s morality (as defined by Biblical principles) is of far greater importance than problems with the climate or the economy or involvement in ill-conceived wars. To them colleges and universities and professors bear much of the blame for turning the country away from Biblical principles; and science, while a useful tool conferring benefits, has also brought unintended harms to our society. They are fervent and they are emboldened by Trump’s success. To summarize: be prepared for 4 years of intensified, vicious culture wars.

Comment on Serving up a NOAA-thing burger by Jim Hunt

Sun, 19 Feb 2017 12:42:38 +0000

I awoke bright and early here in the once Great Britain to discover yet another tissue of lies lying on my virtual doormat, courtesy of David Rose in the Mail on Sunday: "Climategate 2 – Episode 3 of David Rose’s Epic Saga" Let’s see if we can discover if Peter Stott has any recollection of being interviewed last week by the Mail on Sunday and/or The Mail’s leading fantasy fiction writer shall we? I fired off yet another email to Mr. Rose's Managing Editor posing a similar question. "No answer!" has been the stern reply thus far.

Comment on Serving up a NOAA-thing burger by Fred Magyar

Sun, 19 Feb 2017 10:20:27 +0000

Thomas @ 84, LOL! Tks for the link! Seems you ran out of arguments rather quickly, eh?! Cheers, old chap!