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Weak August orders for US Duarbles

Wed, 28 Sep 2016 14:40:19 GMT

EURUSD, Daily               The U.S. durables report revealed weak August orders ex-transportation but surprising gains for transportation and defense orders, alongside particularly weak equipment data after downward revisions for both durable orders and equipment in July. We saw the expected weakness in shipments, alongside a small inventory rise.  Meanwhile, December rate hike bets continue to waffle around 50-50, according to Fed funds futures.



Technical Analysis USDCAD : 2016-09-28

Wed, 28 Sep 2016 13:18:39 GMT

Bank of Canada may loosen monetary policy Canadian dollar slumped to a 6-month low. On USDCAD chart it looks like growth. Lower oil prices and bank of Canada’s statement supported such a trend. Will Canadian dollar continue weakening? The victory of Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump in first round of TV debate as declared by CNN agency, could also have a negative effect at Canadian dollar. Market participants believe Democrats are more interested in Fed rate hike. In case their candidate



Macro Events & News

Wed, 28 Sep 2016 07:12:44 GMT

FX News Today European Outlook: Asian stock markets are heading south, led by a slide in Japanese markets, (Nikkei closed down -1.31%)  as more than half the companies on the benchmark traded without the right to the next dividend, a biannual event in Japan that tends to weigh on markets. Elsewhere financials remained under pressure as concerns over Deutsche Bank AG continue to weigh on the sector. Oil prices are volatile and the front end WTI future has fallen below USD 45 per barrel, as



AUDNZD looks to be rolling over

Tue, 27 Sep 2016 09:11:07 GMT

AUDNZD, Daily               The NZD seems to be gaining some more buyers in the last few days with interesting candle patterns displayed in the EUR/NZD (Tweezer Top) and NZDCHF (Tweezer Bottom), but the one that has spiked my interest the most is its near neighbour the AUD. A Tweezer Top was also formed in the AUDNZD yesterday, as the pair closed back at the extreme of the Bollinger band and supported by the 50 DMA. A break of this 1.0490 level on the 4 hour



Macro Events & News

Tue, 27 Sep 2016 06:55:35 GMT

FX News Today European Outlook: Asian stock markets managed to reverse earlier losses and are mostly up on the day, led by Hond Kong where casinos and banks outperformed as traders followed the U.S. presidential debate and judged Clinton the winner. U.S. and U.K. stock futures are also moving higher, after yesterday’s sell off where concerns about Deutsche Bank AG weighed on financial stocks in Europe and a drop in yields hit U.S. banks. Oil prices are down on the day and off earlier highs,



Technical Analysis NIKKEI : 2016-09-26

Mon, 26 Sep 2016 13:25:35 GMT

Bank of Japan monetary stimulus program extension may lift Nikkei The Bank of Japan left the deposit rate at minus 0.1% at September 21 policy meeting but stated it will continue quantitative easing program until the inflation overshoots the 2% inflation target. Will Nikkei continue rising? The Japanese GDP expanded 0.2% in the second quarter over the previous quarter, slowing from 0.5% quarterly rate in the first quarter. The government unveiled a new budget with expanded fiscal spending



The Economic Week Ahead

Mon, 26 Sep 2016 06:53:58 GMT

Main Macro Events This Week Lots of speeches from all around the globe this week, but focus now turns to the US Presidential election, with all eyes on Monday’s Trump-Clinton debate (up to 20% of US voters remain undecided). It’s believed that the debate “winner” could garner enough support to become the next president of the United States. That perception would have important implications for the various sectors of the economy supported by Trump or Clinton, including financials, defense,



Weekly FX Market Technical Outlook - September 26th to 30th 2016

Mon, 26 Sep 2016 01:11:00 GMT

EURUSD – Euro/dollar continues to move sideways Last week, we saw the EURUSD move modestly higher, but it is still sideways overall and stuck within a large trading range between 1.1400 – 1.0900. In the near-term, if price holds under 1.1300 resistance area we could see it reverse to the downside again. This pair is pretty volatile / erratic right now so it may be best to just stand aside until a more obvious signal forms. AUDUSD – Aussie/dollar moves up to key resistance zone The AUDUSD



Forex Weekly Outlook September 26-30

Fri, 23 Sep 2016 15:51:29 GMT

The Fed came and went and so did the BOJ, leaving a mixed picture after the high tension. Speeches from Yellen and Draghi among others, US Consumer Confidence, Durable Goods orders and GDP data from the US, UK, and Canada, stand out. These are the highlights on forex calendar. Join us as we explore the market movers for this week. Last week, The Federal Reserve maintained rates on their September meeting held last week but said a rate hike it is likely before the end of 2016. The Central Bank



Cable trading at seven week low

Fri, 23 Sep 2016 14:42:01 GMT

USDGBP, Daily               Cable is registering just over a 1% loss on the day so far, which is the biggest mover out of the currency pairings we track. The decline mostly reflects across-the-board losses in sterling, which have pushed EURGBP into one-month territory and have come despite official data today showing a 2% y/y increase in foreign visitor spending in the UK in July. The sharp drop in pound in late June and early July following the Brexit vote



USDCAD Soars on poor Canadian Data

Fri, 23 Sep 2016 13:27:32 GMT

USDCAD, Daily               Two key Canadian data points both miss expectations data. Canada retail sales slipped 0.1% in July, contrary to expectations (median +0.2%) and following the 0.1% dip in June. The ex-autos sales aggregate dipped 0.1% in July, also not as expected (median +0.4%) after the revised 0.6% tumble in June (was -0.8%). Excluding gasoline prices, retail sales values grew 0.2% in July. Moreover, falling prices in general were a key driver



Technical Analysis NIKKEI : 2016-09-26

Fri, 23 Sep 2016 13:24:43 GMT

Bank of Japan monetary stimulus program extension may lift Nikkei The Bank of Japan left the deposit rate at minus 0.1% at September 21 policy meeting but stated it will continue quantitative easing program until the inflation overshoots the 2% inflation target. Will Nikkei continue rising? The Japanese GDP expanded 0.2% in the second quarter over the previous quarter, slowing from 0.5% quarterly rate in the first quarter. The government unveiled a new budget with expanded fiscal spending



Macro Events & News

Fri, 23 Sep 2016 07:40:19 GMT

FX News Today US Data Reports: Revealed weak August data for existing home sales and leading indicators, but a tight initial claims report for the BLS survey week of September that left mixed signals that were positive on net, with aid from a 0.5% July rise in the FHFA home price index. The 0.9% August existing home sales drop to a 5.33 mln rate left a Q3 trimming of Q2 gains, though the median price decline to $240,200 was largely seasonal and left that figure close to the $247,600 all-time