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CFR.org - Economics



A nonpartisan resource for information and analysis



Published: Sat, 29 Apr 2017 19:26:59 -0400

Last Build Date: Sat, 29 Apr 2017 19:26:59 -0400

Copyright: Copyright 2017 by the Council on Foreign Relations. All Rights Reserved.
 



Global Economics Monthly May 2017

Thu, 27 Apr 2017 09:32:17 -0400

Steven A. Tananbaum Senior Fellow for International Economics Robert Kahn argues that British Prime Minister Theresa May’s decision to seek early elections comes as the economic costs of Brexit are becoming more apparent. While the removal of electoral uncertainty may be helpful in Brexit negotiations, the new relationship between the United Kingdom (UK) and the European Union (EU), as well as the rest of the world, will take years to work out. An extended transition to an uncertain future will further stress UK and EU economies.

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A Conversation With Arun Jaitley

Fri, 21 Apr 2017 14:42:08 -0400

Arun Jaitley discusses the status of India’s economy, its relationship with the United States, and its place in the world economy.

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Behavioral Insights Into Policymaking

Mon, 17 Apr 2017 09:59:54 -0400

Experts discuss behavioral insights into policymaking.

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A Conversation With Benoît Cœuré

Mon, 17 Apr 2017 09:55:14 -0400

Benoît Cœuré discusses his position on the Executive Board of the European Central Bank, the effectiveness of the bank’s Asset Purchase Program, and the impact on international capital flows.

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A Conversation With Daniel Kahneman

Fri, 14 Apr 2017 15:48:34 -0400

Daniel Kahneman discusses insights from behavioral economics.

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Don’t Politicize the Federal Reserve

Wed, 12 Apr 2017 10:07:18 -0400

An independent Federal Reserve is critically important to the U.S. economy, the well-being of the people, and the market credibility of Fed policy making, writes CFR's Robert Rubin.

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The Impact of the Iran Nuclear Agreement

Tue, 11 Apr 2017 11:14:57 -0400

Iran has restricted its nuclear program and given international inspectors unprecedented access, but it has not seen the economy recovery expected in the aftermath of the agreement with international powers.

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A Conversation With Amina J. Mohammed

Wed, 05 Apr 2017 15:36:46 -0400

Leading international institutions and private sector corporations have concluded that women’s economic participation is critical to global growth and prosperity. However, today nearly 90 percent of nations around the world still have laws on the books that impede women’s work, thereby undermining economic development. H.E. Amina J. Mohammed discusses the legal barriers that women face and offers recommendations to level the economic playing field for women in order to grow economies worldwide. This meeting is part of a new high-level series, in collaboration with the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, to explore the economic effects of inequality under the law. 

 

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Media Files:
http://feeds.cfr.org/~r/issue/economics/~5/x6AHgH4pSVU/T001_20170316.mp3




Putting Pressure on China Probably Won’t Help U.S. Workers. Here’s What Might.

Wed, 05 Apr 2017 12:51:20 -0400

The U.S.-China relationship is one issue on which President Trump’s instincts are at least partly right — for China, let’s be honest, does not always play fair in international economic relations. It has limited respect for intellectual property; it subsidizes strategic industries with bargain loans and export credits; it uses government power over procurement to favor domestic firms.

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A Conversation With Dan Schulman

Mon, 03 Apr 2017 11:00:37 -0400

Dan Schulman discusses how globalization defines today's consumer and the value of public-private partnerships and how they accelerate innovation. He will also address responsible leadership, and how businesses can drive lasting economic and socioeconomic impact.

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Media Files:
http://feeds.cfr.org/~r/issue/economics/~5/ozGM7Vqy2ww/20170407%20Corporate%20Conference%20Plenary%203.mp3




Driverless Cars and the Future of Transportation

Fri, 31 Mar 2017 13:36:16 -0400

Experts discuss innovations in driverless cars, the costs and benefits of autonomous vehicles, and the regulatory, ethical, and policy concerns that need to be addressed with the implementation of the technology.

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Media Files:
http://feeds.cfr.org/~r/issue/economics/~5/45lncIsyoI0/20170405_Driverless_Cars_OTRMeeting.mp3




The Future of Europe: The EU at a Crossroads

Fri, 31 Mar 2017 13:34:22 -0400

Experts reflect on the development of the European Union (EU) since its creation with the Treaty of Maastricht twenty-five years ago, and evaluate the future of the EU and challenges that lie ahead.

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Media Files:
http://feeds.cfr.org/~r/issue/economics/~5/poNQSxSFmhA/20170404_EU%20Crossroads_OTRMeeting.mp3




A Look Inside Mexico

Fri, 31 Mar 2017 13:32:30 -0400

Experts delve into the domestic politics of Mexico, analyzing the impact of corruption, the drug war, and Mexico’s bilateral strategy with the United States following disagreements over immigration, border walls, and the North American Free Trade Agreement.

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Media Files:
http://feeds.cfr.org/~r/issue/economics/~5/KsTNPh18Po8/20170405GL%20A%20Look%20Inside%20Mexico.mp3




Automation, Job Loss, and the Welfare State

Fri, 24 Mar 2017 12:08:53 -0400

Experts explore the potential for mass job loss created by technological advances and, in turn, the possible need for a large welfare state to care for an increasingly underemployed population.

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Media Files:
http://feeds.cfr.org/~r/issue/economics/~5/8ZX1bsrU0Cc/20170330_Robots_OTRMeeting.mp3




Global Economics Monthly March 2017

Wed, 15 Mar 2017 16:46:59 -0400

Steven A. Tananbaum Senior Fellow for International Economics Robert Kahn writes that Greece and its creditors are again locked in a showdown over reforms, cash, and debt relief. Another cliff-hanger ahead of heavy July debt payments looks likely. Extend-and-pretend is a dead end for Greece and an increasingly populist Europe, and a more ambitious agreement seems ruled out by bailout fatigue in creditor countries. Markets are once again underestimating the risks of “Grexit.”

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House Plan's Bad Math: Over-Estimates of Revenue from a Border Adjustment

Wed, 15 Mar 2017 13:08:11 -0400

Brad Setser provides an analysis of revenue projections for the proposed border adjustment tax.

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Why Hurting the Poor Will Hurt the Economy

Sat, 11 Mar 2017 20:15:29 -0500

Fighting poverty is not only a moral imperative, but also a critical investment for U.S. economic growth, writes CFR Co-Chairman Robert Rubin.

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Dutch Elections and the Future of the EU

Fri, 10 Mar 2017 13:55:20 -0500

The rise of populist Geert Wilders in the Netherlands is showcasing the pressing need for European Union reform, says expert Pieter Cleppe.

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Corruption and Commerce: The Costs and Benefits of Policing International Markets

Thu, 09 Mar 2017 16:01:35 -0500

Experts discuss the effects of corruption and illicit financial flows on international commerce, and how the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act has helped advance U.S. multinational corporations.

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The Federal Reserve Should Give Wall Street a Shock

Tue, 07 Mar 2017 16:59:10 -0500

Sebastian Mallaby argues that the Fed has gotten too predictable.

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How North Korea Evades UN Sanctions Through International "Front" Companies

Fri, 03 Mar 2017 16:32:34 -0500

North Korean sanctions evasion has largely eviscerated the intent and impact of UN sanctions resolutions designed to block international financial and material support for North Korean nuclear and missile development efforts. Aside from the obvious Chinese loophole, the assassination of Kim Jong Nam has shone a bright light on another major portal for North Korean illicit actions and sanctions evasion: Malaysia.

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The Uncertain Future of U.S. Trade Policy

Thu, 02 Mar 2017 16:30:38 -0500

Experts discuss the economic and political challenges facing U.S. trade policy, how to proceed in the current political climate, and policy options for the future direction of U.S. trade.

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Media Files:
http://feeds.cfr.org/~r/issue/economics/~5/rnUciaGcUdE/20170306GL.mp3




The Uncertain Future of U.S. Trade Policy

Thu, 02 Mar 2017 16:30:38 -0500

Experts discuss the economic and political challenges facing U.S. trade policy, how to proceed in the current political climate, and policy options for the future direction of U.S. trade.

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Media Files:
http://feeds.cfr.org/~r/issue/economics/~5/mdv4G4UGXo4/20170222AfricaGM.mp4




Options for U.S. Policy in Venezuela

Thu, 02 Mar 2017 16:19:22 -0500

Shannon K. O’Neil testified before the U.S. Senate Committee on Foreign Relations, addressing the ongoing crisis in Venezuela and proposing U.S. policy options aimed at combatting the political, economic, social, and humanitarian crises in the country. She called for targeted sanctions against human rights abusers, drug traffickers, and corrupt officials, a concerted effort to rally Venezuela’s South American neighbors in condemning Venezuela’s authoritarianism, and how the United States should prepare to help a new and more receptive Venezuelan government in the future.

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Europe or Anti-Europe?

Tue, 28 Feb 2017 13:41:03 -0500

Since the 2008 financial crisis, the conventional wisdom has been that a long, difficult recovery for eurozone economies will eventually lead to strong growth. But this narrative is losing credibility.

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How Trump Could Affect the National Debt

Tue, 28 Feb 2017 11:05:52 -0500

The U.S. national debt now exceeds $14 trillion, prompting calls for tax and spending reforms as President Donald J. Trump prepares his administration’s first budget proposal. 

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Trade, Social Preferences and Regulatory Cooperation

Mon, 27 Feb 2017 09:00:03 -0500

Global value chains have changed the way that the world trades. The World Trade Organization (WTO) should embrace the confluence of shared social preferences and trade, where it may exist such as digital trade, food and drug safety, and climate smart-agriculture, as a motivation for advancing international regulatory cooperation. To do that, changes to the corporate governance of the WTO are needed to facilitate the use of plurilateral agreements and to multilateralize progress already occurring bilaterally and regionally.

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Trump Should Follow Reagan's Lead on Trade

Thu, 23 Feb 2017 13:09:32 -0500

Three deals with France, Germany, Japan and the UK in the 1980s helped preserve the open global trading system.

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Sorry, Trump, but America’s Economy Is Already Pretty Great

Fri, 17 Feb 2017 09:56:18 -0500

President Trump asserts that the U.S. economy is a disaster and that he alone can fix it. The truth is that the U.S. economy is doing better than most Americans realize, and activist attempts to fix what ain’t broke are one of the gravest threats to it. What’s at stake is not simply that the president is vague or wrong about the facts. It’s that bad facts make for bad policy.

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Trump May Threaten a Trade War Over NAFTA, but His Options Are Limited

Thu, 16 Feb 2017 09:21:55 -0500

When then-President Bill Clinton signed the North American Free Trade Agreement in a White House ceremony in December 1993, he called it “a defining moment” for the United States and praised Mexico and Canada as “our partners in the future that we are trying to make together.” All three countries had made what then seemed like an irreversible decision to marry their economic futures. Yet today, less than a quarter-century later, those bonds are badly fraying.

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Of Debt and Detriment

Mon, 13 Feb 2017 15:08:10 -0500

Benn Steil and Emma Smith show how China mirrors the U.S. “exorbitant privilege” from minting the world’s primary reserve currency. While the United States is deeply indebted to the rest of the world, it still earns far more abroad than it pays out. China, in contrast, has become the world’s largest creditor while paying foreigners far more than it receives. Steil and Smith argue that China is making itself vulnerable to financial crisis by massively subsidizing its geostrategic objectives.

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