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CFR.org - Economics



A nonpartisan resource for information and analysis



Published: Mon, 27 Mar 2017 16:56:37 -0400

Last Build Date: Mon, 27 Mar 2017 16:56:37 -0400

Copyright: Copyright 2017 by the Council on Foreign Relations. All Rights Reserved.
 



Automation, Job Loss, and the Welfare State

Fri, 24 Mar 2017 12:08:53 -0400

Experts explore the potential for mass job loss created by technological advances and, in turn, the possible need for a large welfare state to care for an increasingly underemployed population.

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Global Economics Monthly March 2017

Wed, 15 Mar 2017 16:46:59 -0400

Steven A. Tananbaum Senior Fellow for International Economics Robert Kahn writes that Greece and its creditors are again locked in a showdown over reforms, cash, and debt relief. Another cliff-hanger ahead of heavy July debt payments looks likely. Extend-and-pretend is a dead end for Greece and an increasingly populist Europe, and a more ambitious agreement seems ruled out by bailout fatigue in creditor countries. Markets are once again underestimating the risks of “Grexit.”

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Why Hurting the Poor Will Hurt the Economy

Sat, 11 Mar 2017 20:15:29 -0500

Fighting poverty is not only a moral imperative, but also a critical investment for U.S. economic growth, writes CFR Co-Chairman Robert Rubin.

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Dutch Elections and the Future of the EU

Fri, 10 Mar 2017 13:55:20 -0500

The rise of populist Geert Wilders in the Netherlands is showcasing the pressing need for European Union reform, says expert Pieter Cleppe.

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The Federal Reserve Should Give Wall Street a Shock

Tue, 07 Mar 2017 16:59:10 -0500

Sebastian Mallaby argues that the Fed has gotten too predictable.

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How North Korea Evades UN Sanctions Through International "Front" Companies

Fri, 03 Mar 2017 16:32:34 -0500

North Korean sanctions evasion has largely eviscerated the intent and impact of UN sanctions resolutions designed to block international financial and material support for North Korean nuclear and missile development efforts. Aside from the obvious Chinese loophole, the assassination of Kim Jong Nam has shone a bright light on another major portal for North Korean illicit actions and sanctions evasion: Malaysia.

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The Uncertain Future of U.S. Trade Policy

Thu, 02 Mar 2017 16:30:38 -0500

Experts discuss the economic and political challenges facing U.S. trade policy, how to proceed in the current political climate, and policy options for the future direction of U.S. trade.

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Media Files:
http://feeds.cfr.org/~r/issue/economics/~5/rnUciaGcUdE/20170306GL.mp3




The Uncertain Future of U.S. Trade Policy

Thu, 02 Mar 2017 16:30:38 -0500

Experts discuss the economic and political challenges facing U.S. trade policy, how to proceed in the current political climate, and policy options for the future direction of U.S. trade.

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Media Files:
http://feeds.cfr.org/~r/issue/economics/~5/mdv4G4UGXo4/20170222AfricaGM.mp4




Options for U.S. Policy in Venezuela

Thu, 02 Mar 2017 16:19:22 -0500

Shannon K. O’Neil testified before the U.S. Senate Committee on Foreign Relations, addressing the ongoing crisis in Venezuela and proposing U.S. policy options aimed at combatting the political, economic, social, and humanitarian crises in the country. She called for targeted sanctions against human rights abusers, drug traffickers, and corrupt officials, a concerted effort to rally Venezuela’s South American neighbors in condemning Venezuela’s authoritarianism, and how the United States should prepare to help a new and more receptive Venezuelan government in the future.

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Europe or Anti-Europe?

Tue, 28 Feb 2017 13:41:03 -0500

Since the 2008 financial crisis, the conventional wisdom has been that a long, difficult recovery for eurozone economies will eventually lead to strong growth. But this narrative is losing credibility.

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How Trump Could Affect the National Debt

Tue, 28 Feb 2017 11:05:52 -0500

The U.S. national debt now exceeds $14 trillion, prompting calls for tax and spending reforms as President Donald J. Trump prepares his administration’s first budget proposal. 

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Trade, Social Preferences and Regulatory Cooperation

Mon, 27 Feb 2017 09:00:03 -0500

Global value chains have changed the way that the world trades. The World Trade Organization (WTO) should embrace the confluence of shared social preferences and trade, where it may exist such as digital trade, food and drug safety, and climate smart-agriculture, as a motivation for advancing international regulatory cooperation. To do that, changes to the corporate governance of the WTO are needed to facilitate the use of plurilateral agreements and to multilateralize progress already occurring bilaterally and regionally.

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Trump Should Follow Reagan's Lead on Trade

Thu, 23 Feb 2017 13:09:32 -0500

Three deals with France, Germany, Japan and the UK in the 1980s helped preserve the open global trading system.

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Sorry, Trump, but America’s Economy Is Already Pretty Great

Fri, 17 Feb 2017 09:56:18 -0500

President Trump asserts that the U.S. economy is a disaster and that he alone can fix it. The truth is that the U.S. economy is doing better than most Americans realize, and activist attempts to fix what ain’t broke are one of the gravest threats to it. What’s at stake is not simply that the president is vague or wrong about the facts. It’s that bad facts make for bad policy.

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Trump May Threaten a Trade War Over NAFTA, but His Options Are Limited

Thu, 16 Feb 2017 09:21:55 -0500

When then-President Bill Clinton signed the North American Free Trade Agreement in a White House ceremony in December 1993, he called it “a defining moment” for the United States and praised Mexico and Canada as “our partners in the future that we are trying to make together.” All three countries had made what then seemed like an irreversible decision to marry their economic futures. Yet today, less than a quarter-century later, those bonds are badly fraying.

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Of Debt and Detriment

Mon, 13 Feb 2017 15:08:10 -0500

Benn Steil and Emma Smith show how China mirrors the U.S. “exorbitant privilege” from minting the world’s primary reserve currency. While the United States is deeply indebted to the rest of the world, it still earns far more abroad than it pays out. China, in contrast, has become the world’s largest creditor while paying foreigners far more than it receives. Steil and Smith argue that China is making itself vulnerable to financial crisis by massively subsidizing its geostrategic objectives.

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Why Does the Fed Keep Lowering Its Unemployment Threshold Instead of Raising Rates?

Mon, 13 Feb 2017 15:03:11 -0500

We’re nearing the threshold used to estimate how low unemployment can get before inflation rises. Will the Fed raise interest rates?

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Trump’s Manufacturing Tactics Could Backfire

Sat, 04 Feb 2017 11:45:02 -0500

Donald Trump came to Washington determined to shake up America’s economic relations with the world, to pursue what he has unapologetically called an “America first” strategy “to benefit American workers and American families." At the heart of that strategy is restoring manufacturing to its former glory, writes Edward Alden. 

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World Economic Update

Wed, 01 Feb 2017 10:39:37 -0500

Experts discuss trends in the global economy.

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Washington Must Rebuild Trust With Silicon Valley to Meet Cyber Threats, Argues Segal in New Report

Fri, 27 Jan 2017 16:00:54 -0500

Cyber threats are escalating in sophistication and magnitude, but mistrust between Washington and Silicon Valley continues to stymie progress on cybersecurity. In a new Council Special Report, Adam Segal examines the security risks exacerbated by the divide between government and the technology community and offers policy recommendations to help restore trust.

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Ambassador Michael Froman Joins CFR as Distinguished Fellow

Thu, 26 Jan 2017 14:56:02 -0500

Former United States Trade Representative (USTR) Michael Froman will join the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) this month as a distinguished fellow, where his work will focus on international economic policy and trends, trade and investment policy, and globalization and populism.

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Can Trump Carry Out His Foreign Policy Promises?

Thu, 26 Jan 2017 11:53:29 -0500

President Donald J. Trump has wide latitude to enact the sweeping changes to U.S. foreign policy that he has promised, but his executive authority is constrained by congressional legislation, treaty obligations, and bureaucratic processes.

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The President's Inbox: Brexit

Wed, 25 Jan 2017 18:18:48 -0500

CFR's James M. Lindsay, Robert McMahon, and Sebastian Mallaby examine President Donald Trump's priorities on Brexit.

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Media Files:
http://feeds.cfr.org/~r/issue/economics/~5/6UhArEuQL_0/20170125_TPI_Brexit.mp3




A Conversation With Brian Moynihan

Mon, 23 Jan 2017 16:25:25 -0500

Brian Moynihan discusses U.S. and global markets, the global financial system in 2017, and how the banking industry is helping to drive the real economy.

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Why Argentina’s Macri Could Have a Rockier Year in 2017

Sun, 22 Jan 2017 15:42:01 -0500

Argentine President Mauricio Macri and his team can take a bow for their first year in office. Despite Macri’s outsider status and his party’s limited influence in the Congress, he in short order took on the country’s biggest economic distortions—unifying the exchange rate, resolving the fight with international creditors, cutting energy subsidies, reestablishing credible statistics, and eliminating a whole host of tariffs, quotas, and export licenses.

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World Economic Update

Fri, 20 Jan 2017 16:46:41 -0500

Experts discuss trends in the global economy.

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Britain’s Shocking Calm

Fri, 20 Jan 2017 12:10:05 -0500

Britons have taken a leap into the unknown. So why aren’t they scared?

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Trump Says Europe Is in Trouble. He Has a Point.

Tue, 17 Jan 2017 16:15:45 -0500

Germany’s foreign minister reports “astonishment and agitation.” The French president protests indignantly about unsolicited “outside advice .” Even Secretary of State John F. Kerry sees behavior that is “inappropriate.” President-elect Donald Trump’s weekend interview, in which he casually predicted the breakup of the European Union, has certainly attracted attention.

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The Roots of Trump's Trade Rage

Mon, 16 Jan 2017 16:05:46 -0500

The Davos set ignored the warning signs for years. Now, global elites are rightly worried about what comes next.

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The World Isn’t Waiting for Trump on Trade

Thu, 12 Jan 2017 14:44:07 -0500

Joshua Kurlantzick discusses economic responses in Asia to uncertainty over President-Elect Trump’s policies on trade.

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