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blueollie





Last Build Date: Wed, 28 Sep 2016 15:56:50 +0000

 



One key factor in the Presidential Electionblueolliepresowithhillarybobamaapprovalvsotherssep28

Wed, 28 Sep 2016 15:40:33 +0000

Workout notes: 6+ mile walk in West Peoria. Lovely walking weather; nice and cool. Election Presidential elections with no incumbent (my lifetime) 1960: Kennedy vs. Nixon: Kennedy won by less than 1 point; the parties switched. 1968: Humphrey vs. Nixon (and Wallace): Nixon won by less than 1 point; the parties switched. 1988: Bush vs. […](image)


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One good thing about a marathon failure…blueollie

Tue, 27 Sep 2016 13:51:36 +0000

Two days later and I felt good enough to have a good workout. So I do have a few training days before starting taper no. 2. Workout notes: Weights: I got 200 lbs. in the bench press (bodyweight: 189 after the treadmill run). Yeah, my lifetime PB is 310 (at 230 lbs bodyweight). rotator cuff […](image)


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Who thought that Trump won the first debate?blueolliepatrietingreenpatriotpatriot3patriet4

Tue, 27 Sep 2016 10:29:42 +0000

But they don’t make up that much of the United States anymore…thank goodness.(image)


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I could go on and on about the debate…blueollie

Tue, 27 Sep 2016 10:21:34 +0000

But I won’t. Basically, Hillary Clinton showed up prepared and kept her cool. Trump mostly hyperventilated, shouted and was incoherent. Those with money to bet must have agreed; Hillary Clinton’s odds improved and Trump’s fell. Sure, our country was polarized coming in and still is, and what Sam Wang said before the debate still holds. […](image)


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How I know that Trump failed in the debate…blueolliecompleteodds25julypostdebateodds27sep

Tue, 27 Sep 2016 09:45:29 +0000

Look at the betting lines. Here are the “morning of the debate” numbers: Now look at the numbers the morning AFTER the debate: The colors show that Hillary’s odds are getting stronger; Trump’s weaker. (note: a small fraction means “heavier favorite”; 4/9 means you have to risk 9 dollars to win 4. Example: if you […](image)


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Marathons: my margin of error is goneblueollie

Mon, 26 Sep 2016 15:32:18 +0000

Workout notes: 30 minutes on the elliptical. I still have a residual headache….slight. Hot weather marathons: I’ve had some trouble in similar conditions before. In 1998 (runner), I hit mile 20 in 2:50 and took 1:05 to finish the final 6.2. In 2000, at Lake Okoboji, I hit mile 20 in 2:50 and took 1:35 […](image)


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So, will the debate have much effect on the race?blueollieupshot26sept2016upshotlistofmodels26sep2016completeodds25julyelectionprojection26sep2016electoralvote26sep2016

Mon, 26 Sep 2016 15:17:33 +0000

My guess: no. Sam Wang explains why. Here is part of it: Trump could take the lead, but it would go against what we know so far. I would characterize the race as being very close, but not as uncertain as you might think. Why? The unappreciated story of 2016 is the amazing stability of […](image)


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Some things haven’t changedblueolliemolineweather

Sun, 25 Sep 2016 21:17:03 +0000

No biggie, I know, but I swallowed my 3’rd all time marathon DNF today, bailing at mile 20. That’s why. I’ve always done poorly in heat. But now that I am slower, I am out in it longer and the effects compound. In the past, well, during the first Quad Cities marathon, it was brutally […](image)


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Bring it…blueollie

Sat, 24 Sep 2016 13:49:53 +0000

2 miles around the Bradley University campus/Moss neighborhood. Pace: 11:17 more or less…super easy. Aside from packing and driving….nothing more to be done. Yeah, it will be humid but hey..can’t do anything about that but to adjust to the conditions and to accept what my body can do.(image)


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Biding time…blueollie

Fri, 23 Sep 2016 12:57:20 +0000

Warm and humid conditions expected this Sunday. Bleah. Workout notes: mini weights: rotator cuff, a few squats, (weightless), 15-(10-5) pull ups (second set: 10, then quickly change grip and get 5 more), incline press: 10 x 135, 8 x 150, military: 15 x 50 (seated, supported), 10 x 40, rows: 2 sets of 10 x […](image)


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