Published: Sat, 09 Feb 2008 19:45:30 +0000
Sat, 09 Feb 2008 19:21:30 +0000I’m back from Washington, and I have an announcement for readers of the blog: Eunomia will be shifting over to The American Conservative’s site here. This will be the last post at this site (the redirect will be set up soon), and all future Eunomia blogging will be at TAC.
Wed, 06 Feb 2008 18:52:17 +0000Romney lost statewide, as we already knew, but more remarkable is the number of districts he has lost. He lost many of them by thin margins, but that is not much consolation. It appears that he has lost almost all, except the 21st, 49th and 52nd (which he has won) and possibly the 42nd, which is very [...]
Wed, 06 Feb 2008 17:33:41 +0000By Republican strategist Alex Vogel’s calculation, Mitt Romney is giving Gramm a run for his money. The former Massachusetts governor has spent $1.16 million per delegate, a rate that would cost him $1.33 billion to win the nomination. By contrast, Mike Huckabee’s campaign has been the height of efficiency. Delegates haven’t yet been officially apportioned, but [...]
Wed, 06 Feb 2008 16:38:13 +0000It seems to me that this is hard to discern from exit polls. First, the exit polls aren’t measuring why people voted one way or another, but which candidate they supported and which demographic groups they belong to, so the only thing we can know with any certainty is the level of support, or lack of [...]
Wed, 06 Feb 2008 05:10:31 +0000As of 11:00 Central today, Romney has won just three primaries all year and all of them are effectively his “home turf.” All of his other wins have been caucuses, many of them not strongly contested by his rivals. P.S. It’s hard to gauge the outcome from county results, but so far every county that has reported shows a [...]
Wed, 06 Feb 2008 04:54:11 +0000By the way, if you’re wondering why New Mexico hasn’t started reporting results yet, it’s because the Democrats screwed up and set up too few polling places and had too few ballots available. According to my folks back home, the wait to vote in Rio Rancho has been measured in hours.
Wed, 06 Feb 2008 04:26:12 +0000Exits indicate that McCain will win the overall California vote. Obviously, how it breaks down district by district will determine whether Romney has been utterly humiliated or simply beaten. McCain is running strongest in central California, the Bay area and L.A. County, while Romney does best in southern California and the northern coast. McCain’s margins [...]
Wed, 06 Feb 2008 04:00:38 +0000Of course, that doesn’t make any sense, but neither has the constant refrain from the Romneyites that a “vote for Huckabee is a vote for McCain.” This is the same line they tried once before when Giuliani was perceived as Romney’s major adversary. What they can’t seem to grasp is that, at the very least, [...]
Wed, 06 Feb 2008 02:31:33 +0000You have heard me going on about Huckabee’s potential in today’s election for some time, and it seems as if his campaign is delivering in the expected states, and even in a few where he wasn’t expected to do terribly well. He has won Arkansas, Alabama and West Virginia, he is contending seriously for Georgia, Missouri and [...]
Tue, 05 Feb 2008 19:34:33 +0000This seemed remotely possible, but I never took his chances here seriously. Yes, it is “just” a caucus state party convention, which exaggerates the level of support for the campaigns with the most dedicated activists, but even in an old border state Huckabee was able to mobilise enough Christian conservative support to win 52-47 over Romney. [...]
Tue, 05 Feb 2008 19:17:10 +0000Dole defended McCain to Limbaugh, and apparently Romney said this about the letter: It’s probably the last person I would have wanted write a letter for me. I think there’s a lot of folks who tend to think that maybe John McCain’s race is bit like Bob Dole’s race. That it’s the guy who’s next in [...]
Tue, 05 Feb 2008 15:23:58 +0000Since my predictions seem to ensure doom for whomever I select, I will do my bit to stop McCain by saying that he will win every state today except Utah and Alaska.
Tue, 05 Feb 2008 04:52:19 +0000When he sauntered back onto a flight on Saturday, he broke the ice with an unusual remark. “What did they say in ‘Star Wars?’ ” he asked. “What’s that line? ‘There’s nothing happening here. These droids aren’t the droids you’re looking for.’ ” Eric Fehrnstrom, his traveling press secretary, said it had actually been rendered: “These are not the [...]
Tue, 05 Feb 2008 02:31:29 +0000Campaigns can change who you are, particularly politically. ~Rick Santorum Well, in that case, he’s picked the right candidate to endorse. You have to admire how Santorum acknowledges that Romney started his campaign just by checking things off a list, but now is supposed to believe them. His conviction must increase exponentially as his campaign approaches Election Day. P.S. I [...]
Mon, 04 Feb 2008 20:44:42 +0000The Romney campaign doesn’t pretend the sour attitude toward its candidate doesn’t exist. But chief counselor Ben Ginsberg insists— echoing one of the campaign’s main themes — the attitude stems largely from the fact that Romney is “the outsider candidate. He’s not from Washington and he’s going to change Washington. He’s not part of their [...]
Mon, 04 Feb 2008 20:25:34 +0000Strangely, I find myself agreeing with this Fred Siegel statement: Only Clinton derangement syndrome can explain the alliance of so many otherwise thoughtful people of both parties who speak well of the candidacy of a man with scant knowledge of the world who has never been tested and has never run anything larger than a senatorial [...]
Mon, 04 Feb 2008 18:56:27 +0000Perhaps, but having a trio of “philosopher-bloggers” talk about the fortunes and future of the conservative intellectual movement is not blogging. I will be at CPAC for an ISI-sponsored Friday panel from 1:00-3:00 in Congressional Room A. P.S. It appears that the President will also be coming to CPAC on Friday. That should be an interesting sight.
Mon, 04 Feb 2008 06:43:44 +0000Several weeks ago, these forces decided to rally ’round Romney as their alternative. They picked the wrong horse. Had the movement conservatives gone with Mike Huckabee or Fred Thompson, they would have had a better chance of derailing McCain. ~Jonathan Last This is mostly right, and since the flaws of the Thompson campaign are legion and well-known [...]
Mon, 04 Feb 2008 05:58:23 +0000Yesterday, Barack Obama said there’s not a dime’s worth of difference between he and Senator McCain [bold mine-DL] on illegal immigration. ~Mitt Romney I’m sorry, this may seem small and unimportant, but this butchering of a basic element of the English language is just awful. It’s one thing when idiot sports announcers and actors can’t put pronouns into their proper [...]
Mon, 04 Feb 2008 05:26:40 +0000Some people are put off by this drippy effort at putting Obama’s words to music, but far more worrisome is Obama’s ad that apparently ran in some markets during the Super Bowl (we were fast forwarding through many of the ads with Tivo, so I cannot say whether it appeared in the Chicago market). The [...]
Sat, 02 Feb 2008 22:17:12 +0000Given all these procedural oddities from state to state, it’s unlikely any single candidate will deliver a knockout blow on Feb. 5. We still have a ways to go, and it’s hard to know at this point whether the preacher, the prisoner, the woman or the ethnic minority will win. ~Steven Hill It struck me as [...]
Sat, 02 Feb 2008 21:31:13 +0000On the day of the South Carolina primary, I wrote: Because Huckabee has decided to lay off of McCain, and prior to tonight still had strong polling in a number of Feb. 5 states, Romney faces the daunting prospect of an anti-Romney pact between the two of them, effectively shutting him out of the South on [...]
Sat, 02 Feb 2008 21:08:13 +0000There are plenty of reasons that might explain the former Massachusetts governor’s surprisingly weak support among his former colleagues. But one of them stands out: He appears to have inadvertently alienated a good many of his fellow governors as RGA chairman. “Right or wrong, the general impression was that he spent way too much time on [...]
Sat, 02 Feb 2008 20:39:54 +0000This WSJ poll is about six weeks out of date, so it is pretty useless for tracking the presidential race. There are some other results that have more lasting relevance. 58% say that the globalisation of the American economy has been on the whole “bad,” with just 28% saying the opposite and 11% declaring it a wash. [...]
Sat, 02 Feb 2008 19:28:05 +0000Coulter on McCain again: Ready, set, crazy! A winning slogan: “Four rotten years!”