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The Housing Bubble Blog



Examining the home price boom and its effect on owners, lenders, regulators, real estate agents and the economy as a whole.



Published: Mon, 27 Feb 2017 00:19:07 +0000

 



So, Subprime Is Back

Mon, 27 Feb 2017 00:08:37 +0000

A report from the Orange County Register in California. “You are on notice that there are inflection points in the housing market that may cause a downturn. The Mortgage Bankers Association recently announced for the fourth quarter of 2016 California’s mortgage delinquency rate weighed in at 3.2 percent. The national rate was worse at 4.8 [...]



An Analogy From The Housing Bubble

Sun, 26 Feb 2017 01:23:41 +0000

A report from Hoosier Ag Today. “Indiana farmland value decreased by an average of 7.1 percent in 2016 according to the newest report from Farm Credit Mid-America. The report also shows a slight drop in Kentucky but increases in average value for Ohio and Tennessee. Dennis Badger, Vice President Collateral Risk Management explains the fall [...]



A Preponderance Of New Supply

Sat, 25 Feb 2017 15:45:23 +0000

A report from Multi-Housing News. “Jeffery Hayward, head of Fannie Mae’s multifamily mortgage business, shared a few highlights from 2016, as well as initiatives that Fannie Mae is embarking on in 2017. MHN: Where are you seeing a concentration of new supply? Hayward: Dallas will have a lot of new units coming online. So will [...]



Agents Are Crying That The Money Isn’t Coming

Fri, 24 Feb 2017 13:32:29 +0000

It’s Friday desk clearing time for this blogger. “The mansion on Fallen Leaf Road in the secluded Upper Rancho neighborhood of Arcadia has all the trappings a wealthy buyer from China could want. Yet two months after it was placed on the market, the house remains unsold. Not long ago, real estate like this would [...]



A Correction Due To The Sudden Boost In Supply

Thu, 23 Feb 2017 17:10:12 +0000

A report from News.com.au in Australia. “We are going to read a lot about apartment oversupply this year. The Reserve Bank of Australia has already kicked off the discussion warning of the consequences of any flood of new apartments hitting the market. The central bank pointed out that residential approvals have been almost 50 per [...]



Oversupply Is The Big Fear

Wed, 22 Feb 2017 16:54:19 +0000

A report from the Real Deal. “Banks are shying away from financing new apartment projects as supply starts to outpace demand. This year more than 378,000 new apartments are expected to be completed nationwide, according to real estate researcher Axiometrics Inc. But only 50,000 of the 88,000 apartments completed in the fourth quarter of last [...]



They’re Making Lowball Offers

Tue, 21 Feb 2017 15:54:15 +0000

A report from the Real Deal on New York. “When real estate agent Geovanna Lim’s client went into contract on a $3 million new development condominium in Midtown Manhattan more than two years ago, the pad was an easy get for the Chinese national. He agreed to put $300,000 down and even decided against a [...]



A Form Of Denial

Mon, 20 Feb 2017 16:15:16 +0000

A report from the Dallas Morning News in Texas. “Vacancy rates for almost every North Texas real estate sector are staying near recent lows. Less than 4 percent of Dallas-Fort Worth apartments are empty, even with several years of extensive building. The shopping center market is less than 8 percent vacant. And office space in [...]



A Stuck-In-The-Headlights Situation

Sun, 19 Feb 2017 23:53:23 +0000

A report from Globes on Israel. “Bank of Israel figures show that the average interest rate on index-linked mortgages rose from 3.84% in January to 3.85% in February, completing a rise of almost 2% in 18 months. Causes of the increase included expectations of a rise in the Consumer Price Index; a slackening of competition [...]



Spawning A Cycle Of Speculation And Correction

Sat, 18 Feb 2017 09:15:54 +0000

A weekend topic starting with the Dallas Morning News. “For Valentine’s Day, Danielle DiMartino Booth sent Janet Yellen and the ruling cohort at the nation’s central bank a caustic forget-me-not. DiMartino Booth, who advised Richard Fisher about the financial markets during her nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, has written ‘Fed Up: [...]



No One Seems Able To Stop This Gadarene Rush

Fri, 17 Feb 2017 09:15:19 +0000

It’s Friday desk clearing time for this blogger. “Federal Housing Administration mortgage delinquencies jumped in the fourth quarter for the first time since 2006, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported Wednesday. The FHA insures low down-payment loans and is a favorite among first-time homebuyers. The seasonally adjusted FHA delinquency rate increased to 9.02 percent in the [...]



Driven By Unpredictable Investor Mania

Wed, 15 Feb 2017 23:59:57 +0000

A report from the Business News Network in Canada. “After months, if not years of hand-wringing about Canada’s hot housing markets, BMO is calling it: Toronto’s housing market is in a bubble. ‘Let’s drop the pretence. The Toronto housing market — and the many cities surrounding it — are in a housing bubble,’ BMO Chief [...]