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The Housing Bubble Blog

Examining the home price boom and its effect on owners, lenders, regulators, real estate agents and the economy as a whole.

Published: Sun, 10 Dec 2017 15:15:52 +0000


The Biggest Effects In The More Expensive Markets

Sun, 10 Dec 2017 15:05:22 +0000

A weekend topic starting with the Dallas Observer in Texas. “To our regret or good fortune time only will tell, but Dallas is a great laboratory for viewing the forces roiling around American cities. We’ve got thunder overhead, rumblings in the basement and maybe a great day ahead. Nationally, the divide between cities and everybody [...]

Mommy, Why Is That Stranger Puking In The Bushes?

Sat, 09 Dec 2017 15:11:45 +0000

A weekend topic starting with the OB Rag in California. “Editor’s Note: The following is an interview with an fictitious Airbnb host. I’m sitting down with an Airbnb host to discuss the dollars and sense of short term vacation rentals (STVRs). These have been a hotly debated issue in San Diego, and our 9 city [...]

The Adjustment Might Result In A Full-On Crash

Fri, 08 Dec 2017 16:22:11 +0000

It’s Friday desk clearing time for this blogger. “Back in August, the seven-bed, seven-bath Russian Hill triplex at 949 Lombard, once used to film the first San Francisco season of MTV’s The Real World, popped up for sale, asking a princely but contextually appropriate $6.99 million. Four months later the price has precipitously dropped, landing [...]

There’s Just Too Much Supply

Thu, 07 Dec 2017 14:47:17 +0000

A report from Bisnow. “Acquisition opportunities for multifamily investors in 2017 have been slim as a record amount of capital flowed into the debt and equity space. While our investors have their eye on value-add, Class-A multifamily may be in a bubble. ‘There’s just too much supply,’ AMLI Residential CEO Greg Mutz said. Of AMLI [...]

Despite The Big Price Drop, Making The Choice To Sell

Wed, 06 Dec 2017 16:01:27 +0000

A report from the Huffington Post. “Foreclosure starts have begun to edge up in some of the nation’s hottest housing markets. Nearly a quarter of the nation’s large metro areas saw upticks in foreclosure starts, the point when banks take the first step to foreclose on a delinquent home loan, in the third quarter of [...]

When Everyone Is Doing It, You Can’t Put Everyone In Jail

Tue, 05 Dec 2017 16:44:09 +0000

A report from the Toronto Star in Canada. “During a preliminary budget presentation at Toronto City Hall on Thursday, city manager Peter Wallace tried again to warn us about the threat posed by betting everything on the health of the real estate market. If anything, the costs for the city could go up if the [...]

Now They’re Having Trouble Filling Them

Mon, 04 Dec 2017 15:20:29 +0000

A report from Multi-Housing News on Washington. “Alex Henderson, who leads Grosvenor’s Puget Sound Co-Investment team, foresees renewed interest in development, given the potential oversupply of rental product and undersupply of for-sale product in the area. Henderson: ‘To my knowledge, there are very few condo products coming out over the next two years, especially in [...]

Expanding The Reach Of Central-Planning Regimes

Sat, 02 Dec 2017 13:43:13 +0000

A weekend topic on central planning and the housing bubble, starting with Bloomberg. “Central bankers are starting to see promising results from one of the recent additions to their monetary policy toolbox. Lending curbs to stem financial risk — so-called macroprudential limits — have helped slow risky borrowing and temper property price bubbles in countries [...]

Now That It’s More Normal, People Have More Fear

Fri, 01 Dec 2017 15:24:56 +0000

It’s Friday desk clearing time for this blogger. “Realtors are expecting overall home sales in Idaho to expand by 3 to 5 percent in 2018. The housing market is growing, and Ross Farr, a mortgage lender at Zions Bank, says the shortage of houses compared to the demand for them is expected to continue in [...]

For Sellers, It Can Be Frustrating

Thu, 30 Nov 2017 15:38:34 +0000

A report from the Orlando Sentinel in Florida. “Jonathan Barr thought living at the Paramount on Lake Eola would be a dream come true. He estimates spending about $200,000 in custom cabinets, lighting, flooring and other treatments for the downtown Orlando home he bought in 2006. But this past July, Barr was forced to sell [...]

The Nature Of The Adjustment To Come

Wed, 29 Nov 2017 13:43:04 +0000

A report from Wharton. “St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank president James Bullard joined Wharton finance professor Jeremy Siegel recently, along with Jeremy Schwartz, research director at WisdomTree, for a wide-ranging conversation about the future of interest rates, inflation, the state of the economy, overall monetary policy, the possible over-valuation of stock prices — and more.” “Siegel: [...]

A Lot Of Half-Truths Told During The Boom

Tue, 28 Nov 2017 16:15:23 +0000

A report from Inman News. “When sellers get multiple offers on their home, my practice is to email every offer to the seller as it comes in, and then I prepare a multiple offer spreadsheet so that they can compare offers side-by-side. I recently met with sellers to go over multiple offers and came to [...]