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Last Build Date: Sun, 21 Aug 2016 05:18:01 +0000


Comment on NATO moves from reassurance to actual deterrence against Russia by ian

Sun, 21 Aug 2016 05:18:01 +0000

Ukraine could be invited to train in eu countries on anti-tank missiles and therefore in safety for trainers alike. All defencive equipment's, and subversive methods. More needs to be done on Moldavian membership/aid too.

Comment on Terms of Use by Lichka

Fri, 12 Feb 2016 08:08:11 +0000

Is any Uzbek family lives in Salt Lake City ?

Comment on Terms of Use by Lichka

Fri, 12 Feb 2016 07:58:51 +0000

Please ad me to your group

Comment on Pipeline politics to return to the fore in the Caucasus and Central Asia by john werneken

Tue, 26 Jan 2016 21:15:46 +0000

Obviously the Caspian is a sea. Because that definition allows progress and profit. That's how one tells the difference between right and wrong.

Comment on Taking a Page from Putin’s Playbook by Max Hess

Mon, 30 Nov 2015 13:40:16 +0000

Thank you for your comment. I do not agree that Europe wants neither Turkey or Russia as a partner - many want one, many want the other (most of those do not want both). I do agree that Europe as a whole is largely hindered from pursuing these partnerships due to vocal groups that oppose such a partnership. To answer your questions, however, I do not think that Turkey accepts that and I think that the AKP and Erdogan still believe they can get larger concessions from Europe than they are in fact likely too. The motivation to take an action against Russia such as the shoot-down of the Su-24 had a lot more to do with Turkey's policy in Syria than anything regarding Europe in my opinion. Turkey and Russia both very much believe in regional spheres of influence and have an overlapping interest in the Black Sea and Syria - while Turkey may not have been vocal about Crimea it was certainly not pleased by it and the prospects of a long-term Iranian-Russian sphere of influence in neighbouring Syria is much more concerning; Russia's air strikes have prompted Erdogan to look to finally move towards firmly opposing these actions. This has also been exacerbated by domestic politics where Erdogan has sought to cement his own support and hopefully the AKP's long term majority by appealing to nationalists who once supported the MHP - first by fighting with the Kurds, now by supporting the 'Turkmen' in Syria and again countering Russia's growing influence there. The gain, on the other hand, is less clear if Turkey backs down now as it appears to be doing. However that being said, showing Russia's impotence in terms of its ability to respond may in itself be the gain.

Comment on Taking a Page from Putin’s Playbook by Richard Heider

Mon, 30 Nov 2015 12:32:00 +0000

An analysis of the risks and rewards likely showed that by shooting down the plane, Turkey could do to Russia what Russia had done to Estonia, Georgia, Ukraine and others.
OK, but why would Turkey want to do that? What do they have to gain? Are they not risking an economic partnership that has enormous potential? Europe wants neither Turkey nor Russia as a partner - they have made that clear by ignoring every advance made by any of these two in the last decade. Only the current refugee crisis is giving Turkey some leverage - which pours water on the mills of Russia's conspiracy theories of Turkey helping ISIS. So where's the motivation? Where's the gain?

Comment on Azizmurodov Jobir by jam

Thu, 19 Nov 2015 20:08:32 +0000


Comment on Azizmurodov Jobir by Jamshed Azizmurodov

Wed, 18 Nov 2015 18:47:57 +0000

Sehr guta jurnalist

Comment on Azizmurodov Jobir by Jamshed Azizmurodov

Sun, 15 Nov 2015 22:33:01 +0000

Jobir Azizmurodov ist maine Fatha

Comment on Russian Strategy – WTF? by Nathan

Wed, 04 Nov 2015 13:16:36 +0000

Sorry about the delay in answering, Randy. I agree Russia's ability to discern European intentions and strategies is not perfect. I think we can blame France (19th C), Germany (20th C) and U.S./NATO (21st C) for that problem. As well as fixing blame on how Russia trains and develops diplomats. However, I think the greater issue is the U.S. and NATO miscalculating Russia's will and resolve. The U.S. and NATO appear to be ascribing Russia's actions to simply wanting to be a bad actor. Western criticism does not rationalize how Russia sees its behavior to its own benefit. If the West does not begin to accurately assess Russian intentions, it will fail to take appropriate steps to avoid war. Because the West does not assess war as inevitable on the current policy path, I doubt there is a pro/con debate going on among policymakers about whether the West is better off fighting this war or not. You might be unconvinced of Russia's rationale, but does your alternative perspective predict Kremlin decision-making? In my view, the best step towards working to avoid a war is readmitting Russia into the G8. If something like that does not happen to meet Russia's strategic objectives -- there will be a war in Europe. A short one, but an influential one.