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All Central Asia, All The Time



Last Build Date: Fri, 09 Sep 2016 13:12:54 +0000

 



No such thing as a “succession war” as Uzbekistan enters the post-Karimov era

Thu, 08 Sep 2016 16:13:21 +0000

For the first time since its independence, Uzbekistan is experiencing the tremors of managed political transition. On September 2 at 9 pm local time, President Islam Karimov officially died in the intensive care unit in Tashkent, where he had been treated since August 27 after suffering a brain hemorrhage and subsequent stroke. Conflicting reports stated […]



NATO moves from reassurance to actual deterrence against Russia

Tue, 16 Aug 2016 08:48:12 +0000

Defense, deterrence, dialogue. This motto sums up the NATO Summit in Warsaw rather well. On July 8 and 9, NATO members gathered in Poland to confirm and flesh out the plans unveiled during the 2014 Wales Summit in terms of reassurance to the Allies and increase in the Alliance’s defenses on its Eastern flank.   […]



Kazakhstan at odds with homegrown terrorism

Sat, 18 Jun 2016 09:33:09 +0000

  In June, Kazakhstan fell victim to homegrown terrorism. On June 5, a group of about 20 unknown armed assailants stormed two gun supply shops and a National Guard base in Aktobe (Northwestern Kazakhstan) in a vaguely coordinated assault that initially left 4 gunmen, a police officer, and 2 civilians killed. The gunmen started with […]



The ups and downs of Prime Minister Yatseniuk

Sat, 20 Feb 2016 13:27:11 +0000

Yatseniuk 0, Poroshenko 1 – but who’s counting? On February 16, the Cabinet of Ukraine, led by Prime Minister Arseniy Yatseniuk, lived to see another day after the Rada failed to pass a vote of no-confidence. A flurry of political declarations sprouted ahead of the fatidic vote when the Rada factions of the BuYT, Samopomish […]



Pipeline politics to return to the fore in the Caucasus and Central Asia

Sat, 23 Jan 2016 12:16:56 +0000

The future of European gas resources may run through the South Caucasus. 2016 is likely to be a pivotal year in determining the extent of the region’s importance in gas transit, as well as the role of Central Asian states, and potentially even Iran, in supplying these routes. Geopolitical concerns, the development of regional divides, […]



Taking a Page from Putin’s Playbook

Wed, 25 Nov 2015 15:55:44 +0000

Only a few hours after the first shoot-down of a Russian plane by a NATO member in 60 years, Russian President Vladimir Putin took to the airwaves to explain Russia’s reaction to the incident. It was a stark contrast to the highly managed appearances that Putin has usually given when discussing security issues, such as […]



Russian Strategy – WTF?

Sat, 31 Oct 2015 01:03:49 +0000

Is Russian Strategy warlike – true or false? Russia’s strategic deployment and bombing campaign in Syria appears to have surprised and shocked many observers, including Russia watchers.  It shouldn’t have. The uproar is all about Russian aggression and expansionism.  Pundits decry Putin’s alleged attempt to re-create the Soviet Union.  The descriptors of Putin and Russia […]



Local elections in Ukraine bring mixed results

Fri, 30 Oct 2015 08:35:07 +0000

On October 25, 26.7 million Ukrainian voters were called to elect their 168,450 local and regional representatives in the first local elections since the Maidan. With a relatively low turnout of 46.62 percent, the elections represented a genuine test of popularity for the government as well as a barometer of popular discontent over the course […]



New Report for USAID — “Central Asian Involvement in the Conflict in Syria and Iraq: Drivers and Responses”

Wed, 14 Oct 2015 18:07:09 +0000

This spring USAID and MSI International commissioned me to write a long-form policy paper on the Central Asian recruiting to the Syrian conflict. Though it took a couple of months to make sure it was approved for public release, I’m happy to finally be able to share it. This report is the culmination of around […]



A half-frozen low-intensity conflict in Eastern Ukraine?

Mon, 21 Sep 2015 16:22:38 +0000

Caught in a “no war, no peace” situation, Eastern Ukraine is slowly but relentlessly diving into a low-intensity conflict. From the onset of the crisis, barely two years ago, Ukraine has been at war with Russia over the territorial integrity of Crimea and separatist Donbas – two fronts Kyiv has to deal with simultaneously. Through […]