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Arms Control Wonk

an arms control blog network

Last Build Date: Thu, 18 Jan 2018 22:57:15 +0000


Rupture and Betrayal

Wed, 17 Jan 2018 14:50:45 +0000

Quote of the week: “We will insist that Pakistan take decisive action against militant and terrorist groups operating from its soil.” –Trump Administration’s “National Security Strategy of the United States of America,” December 2017 Another rupture, another sense of betrayal. U.S.-Pakistan relations have once again reached a low point with the Trump administration’s decision to …(image)

Reviewing the Nuclear Posture Review

Tue, 16 Jan 2018 14:14:18 +0000

A draft of the Trump Administration’s Nuclear Posture Review has leaked — and its a doozy.  Aaron and Jeffrey discuss the history of these reviews and recommendations to develop a new sea-launched cruise missile and a variable yield warhead for the Trident D5 submarine launched ballistic missile. Links of Note: The Huffpost article that originally leaked the …(image)

The Vancouver Meeting on North Korea: What Should We Expect?

Mon, 15 Jan 2018 11:25:12 +0000

On 16 January, Canada and the US are jointly hosting a group of foreign ministers in Vancouver to discuss the North Korea issue. For background on the meeting, I wrote an earlier piece for the Canadian International Council at the time the event was announced. I’m pleased the initiative got off the ground, that Canada …(image)

Tightening the Screws on the INF

Fri, 12 Jan 2018 15:41:18 +0000

The Trump Administration is naming names, confirming what Jeffrey has long said ? that the new cruise missile Russia is building in violation of the 1987 INF Treaty is the 9M729, which is known in the US as the SSC-8 Screwdriver. Aaron and Jeffrey discuss Russia’s violation of the INF Treaty, offering a deep dive …(image)

Media Files:

The Donald and The Nuclear VI: Pushin’ My Buttons

Fri, 05 Jan 2018 12:44:23 +0000

We usually avoid chasing Trump’s tweets but when the President of the United States says his button is bigger than Kim Jong Un’s … well, we’re not made of stone. Aaron and Jeffrey talk about whether Trump is bluffing and what the disarray in the White House says about policy process issues.   Links of …(image)

Utilizing Article XIV Conferences to Boost the Two Norms that Matter Most

Thu, 04 Jan 2018 16:35:28 +0000

Quote of the week: “The hope of civilization…lies in international arrangements looking, if possible, to the renunciation of the use of the atomic bomb.” — Harry S Truman   Testing nuclear weapons and using them in warfare are linked: testing demonstrates resolve and confirms the military effectiveness of battlefield use. Conversely, the norms of not …(image)

Up Close and Personal with Iranian Drones

Mon, 01 Jan 2018 14:57:53 +0000

Ambassador Nikki Haley gave quite the presentation a few weeks ago. Standing in front of two Qiam/Burkan-2H missile pieces, the US Ambassador the UN called out Iran for its proliferation activities in the Middle East. Two weeks, Aaron and Jeffrey talked at length about the missile. In this episode, Aaron circles back to the other …(image)

Year-End Assessment

Wed, 27 Dec 2017 15:24:06 +0000

Quote of the week: “We are made wise not by the recollection of our past, but by the responsibility for our future.” — George Bernard Shaw It has been a bad year. Any year is a bad year when Mar-a-Lago and the White House are common ports of call. Donald Trump walks both manicured grounds, …(image)

Crisis Management Gets More Complicated between Pakistan and India

Wed, 20 Dec 2017 16:10:03 +0000

Quotes of the week: “The ability to win a local war cannot be translated into the ability to fight it safely and therefore cannot provide a firm foundation for either deterrence or coercion.” — Robert Jervis, The Meaning of the Nuclear Revolution (1989) “The problem…is not that one’s own nuclear weapons might prove insufficiently frightening …(image)

Japan and JASSM

Wed, 20 Dec 2017 14:30:33 +0000

Japanese Defense Minister Itsunori Onodera announced that Tokyo wants to acquire a pair of long-range cruise missiles — the 500 km-range Joint Strike Missile from Norway and the 1000 km range JASSM-ER — to arm the country’s new F-35.  Aaron and Jeffrey discussion the implications for Article 9 of Japan’s constitution and stability in the region. …(image)