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Arms Control Wonk



an arms control blog network



Last Build Date: Tue, 24 Jan 2017 17:41:50 +0000

 



A Time Out for New NSG Membership

Tue, 24 Jan 2017 17:41:50 +0000

The changing of the guard from the Obama to the Trump Administration might be a good time to pause and reflect on India’s efforts to gain entry into the Nuclear Suppliers Group. President Barack Obama promised Prime Minister Narendra Modi to help secure India’s membership. In doing so, the goal of India’s entry superseded the …(image)



Kashmir and Rising Nuclear Dangers on the Subcontinent

Tue, 17 Jan 2017 15:39:44 +0000

Note to readers: An earlier version of this essay was published at ForeignAffairs.com on January 16th. U.S. President-elect Donald Trump will inherit rising nuclear dangers in five regions of the globe. Every one of them could get worse under his watch. Even before taking office, he has challenged Russia with a nuclear arms race it cannot win, while …(image)



Taking Stock

Mon, 09 Jan 2017 14:50:49 +0000

The advent of a New Year and a new administration are as good a time as any for taking stock. Decades of hard work to reduce nuclear dangers are at risk. The most consequential but least heralded achievement of the Cold War – the role of diplomacy in reversing a strategic arms race and helping to …(image)



Iran Nuclear Propulsion: IAEA Firewalls

Wed, 04 Jan 2017 23:18:57 +0000

Last month Iran raised the specter that it may expand the scope of its nuclear activities, especially if its interpretations concerning what constitutes non-compliance with the JCPOA do not prevail. This was not the first time Iran has dropped this hint. In 2013 the head of Iran’s nuclear program, Fereydoon Abbasi-Davani, announced that Iran might …(image)



OSINT Brief for PEOTUS

Tue, 03 Jan 2017 18:10:21 +0000

Welcome to 2017! I’m still on vacation (can’t you tell?), but Trump sure isn’t. He shot off two tweets last night. North Korea just stated that it is in the final stages of developing a nuclear weapon capable of reaching parts of the U.S. It won't happen! — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) January 2, 2017 …(image)



Thomas Schelling: Compellence in Asia

Tue, 03 Jan 2017 12:56:56 +0000

For the first part of this two-part essay, see: Thomas Schelling: Deterrence in Europe. (Now with minor corrections and an update in the middle of the post.) * * * So much for Europe. Let’s consider the role of events in Asia in shaping Schelling’s ideas. “The brink” is the central metaphor in Schelling’s explanation …(image)



Thomas Schelling: Deterrence in Europe

Mon, 02 Jan 2017 17:07:29 +0000

(Now with updates and minor corrections, for extra goodness.) When I came to the University of Maryland College Park for grad school in the fall of 1998, I didn’t have to buy either The Strategy of Conflict or Arms and Influence, having inherited the battered copies my parents shared in college. That was a tiny …(image)



Year End Blues

Wed, 28 Dec 2016 19:19:41 +0000

The year ends on many somber notes – the election of Donald Trump, his modus operandi and appointments to senior positions, the push on Capitol Hill to expand national missile defenses and to once again explore space-based systems, and the deaths of Tom Schelling, Sid Drell, and John Newhouse. Many signs now point to the …(image)



Tracking Preparations at the Korla Missile Test Base

Wed, 28 Dec 2016 00:29:06 +0000

The end of the year has been hectic, and I would forgive you if you missed a Bill Gertz article from earlier this month about preparations for an anti-satellite/missile defense test in China at the Korla Missile Test Base. I almost missed the story, but I’m especially glad that I didn’t. As we finally end …(image)



Holiday Greetings: Rave On, Dear Friends

Sat, 24 Dec 2016 19:07:17 +0000

Guidance from Van Morrison: Rave on John Donne, rave on thy Holy fool Down through the weeks of ages In the moss borne dark dank pools Rave on, down through the industrial revolution Empiricism, atomic and nuclear age Rave on down through time and space down through the corridors Rave on words on printed page …(image)