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Last Build Date: Sat, 10 Feb 2018 07:25:46 +0000



Fri, 12 Dec 2014 06:45:57 +0000

Originally posted on Foseti:
Some overly terse writing by your humble blogger appears to have kicked-off a bit of a ruckus in the comments. I will try to explain myself more eloquently. Recent American history is plagued by dishonesty. One of my guiding principles when thinking about recent American history is to assume that every…

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Reply to Aretae on Immigrationcontemplationist

Sun, 25 Sep 2011 07:35:46 +0000

“You don’t know, I don’t know. Glad we cleared that up.” — Aretae I don’t even know whether the sun will rise tomorrow. Yeah the above is obviously a dumb thing to say, just like yours was. We “know” things on a probabilistic stale. So yes, long-term prediction is an insane thing to do. However, … Continue reading Reply to Aretae on Immigration

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Reverend Bayes Eschews Politicscontemplationist

Sun, 25 Sep 2011 07:32:10 +0000

Most people can’t do bayesian inference properly. in politics bayesian-type inference is grotesquely misused. Therefore, I think the standard for public discourse should discourage this inference. I may be completely wrong about my interpretation. But im specifically talking about things like trusting of sources, corrupting influences etc. Sides are able to simply dismiss fully legitimate … Continue reading Reverend Bayes Eschews Politics

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Libertarian Party – Ground Troops for Libertycontemplationist

Sat, 19 Mar 2011 03:39:47 +0000

Stop being a “political” party in the traditional sense. Get out in front of any issue which is popular or populist with a libertarian bent – whether its the latest licensing outrage that Institute for Justice is fighting – let them fight in the courts while you highlight the fight and bring it to the … Continue reading Libertarian Party – Ground Troops for Liberty

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Stupidity v Malicecontemplationist

Sat, 19 Mar 2011 03:29:26 +0000

Never attribute to malice that which can be explained by stupidity Old quote, right? We’ve all heard it. Gretchen Wilson of Fox News Fox and Friends was caught acting extremely dumb by Jon Stewart. He googles her and finds out she is a class valedictorian, Stanford alum, classical violinist. me: WTF!??!?! This definitely calls for … Continue reading Stupidity v Malice

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The Death of the Repeal-Replace Movementcontemplationist

Fri, 24 Sep 2010 02:15:56 +0000

Lets see what we have here: 1) A healthy majority of voters oppose ObamaCare 2) Around 40% of Independent voters say ObamaCare is the main issue this fall affecting their voting pattern 3) A conservative electoral wave threatening to sweep away even safer Democrats this fall. And what does the Republican Party do? Surrender Release … Continue reading The Death of the Repeal-Replace Movement

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Bankers and Muslimscontemplationist

Mon, 12 Jul 2010 18:24:18 +0000

Time to shoot from the hips. With almost zero knowledge, I’m going to posit two extremely cynical theories of Islamic banking and its prohibition on charging interest (usury) Plain Vanilla Public Choice Public Choice w/ Anti-semitism As anyone with basic financial knowledge can guess, when you prohibit interest, it doesn’t just disappear. It gets hidden … Continue reading Bankers and Muslims

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Efficacy and Politics of Sanctionscontemplationist

Tue, 18 May 2010 04:05:31 +0000

Sanctions don’t work. Thats been demonstrated time and time again. So the only question that remains is the following: Why do nations still use sanctions? My guess is : 1 – There is public pressure to “do something” 2 – Sanctions are a low-cost (to the imposer) way to signal toughness and to “do something”. … Continue reading Efficacy and Politics of Sanctions

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The End of Economic GrowthcontemplationistIndeed

Sun, 18 Apr 2010 03:04:18 +0000

Are there limits to growth? What does the end of economic growth look like? What is the ultimate goal of economic growth? The ultimate end point. This is only a theoretical question, by the way, as we know that physical limitations are the ultimate constraint to growth. The empirical end will look quite different. But I … Continue reading The End of Economic Growth

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