There is only one film opening wide next week, Inferno, so obviously it is the only choice for the target film in this week's Box Office Prediction contest. In order to win, one must simply predict the opening weekend box office number for Inferno
We are back to the usual Halloween Trick or Treat prizes. After determining the three winners, two will be given horror movies, the âTreatsâ, while the third will be given a movie so bad it is scary it was made, the âTrickâ.
Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going over, will be one of three winners. Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going under, will be the second of three winners. Finally, we will be choosing an entrant from the group of people who haven't won, or haven't won recently, and they will be the third of three winners.
Entries must be received by 10 a.m., Pacific Time on Friday to be eligible, so don't delay!
It is a busy week as far as wide releases are concerned, although not as busy as we thought it would be at the beginning of the month, as Iâm Not Ashamed has dropped to âselect citiesâ. It still has a shot at the top ten, but a slim shot. The biggest release of the week is Jack Reacher: Never Go Back, as it is opening in an estimated 3,800 theaters. However, the buzz is weak and its reviews wonât help either. It will likely struggle to top $20 million. This gives Tyler Perryâs Boo! A Madea Halloween a shot at first place. The best new release of the week is Ouija: Origin of Evil. One would hope a horror film earning 80% positive reviews ten days before Halloween would at least have a shot at first place. Weâll see. Finally thereâs Keeping Up with the Joneses. Itâs bad and thatâs all I need to say about that. There is good news. This weekend last year was a disaster. The biggest wide release was The Last Witch Hunter and it earned less than $11 million. The biggest film was The Martian, which earned under $16 million. We could have two films top $20 million, so 2016 should end the slump it has been in.
Jack Reacher: Never Go Back will open in 3,780 theaters this weekend, per Paramountâs Thursday morning announcement. Thatâs well ahead of their estimate of 3,500 this time last week, and points towards a solid opening for the film. Ouija: Origin of Evil is set for 3,168 locations, and will be the second-widest new release, according to what weâve heard so far. Keeping Up with the Joneses will launch in 3,022 venuesâabout in line with what Masterminds debuted with a few weeks ago. Lionsgate has Tyler Perryâs Boo! A Madea Halloween coming out this weekend in 2,260, and have a shot at topping the chart with the film.
Itâs a bad week for the home market. There are only two first-run releases and neither of them are worth picking up. Thereâs not a lot of limited releases, TV on DVD releases, etc. to make up the gap. However, there is one truly great release, TrilogÃa de Guillermo del Toro from The Criterion Collection. The Blu-ray costs a lot, but it is a must have for fans of Guillermo Del Toro, especially his earlier Spanish-language work: Cronos, The Devilâs Backbone, and Panâs Labyrinth.
The weekend box office was not good. The Accountant did beat expectations with $24.71 million, but the other wide releases missed expectations. As a result, the box office fell 6% from last weekend to $97 million. The weekend box office should never be below $100 million, outside of a few dead zones during the year. Weâve been below that mark too frequently this year. Worse still, this is 18% lower than the same weekend last year. Year-to-date, 2016 still has a substantial lead over 2015 at $8.78 billion to $8.43 billion. However, we are nearing the $325 million mark where we have reason to panic. Remember, The Force Awakens earned $650 million during 2015 and Rogue One is only expected to earn half that much this year. We need to maintain a lead that large, or else 2016 will likely lose in the year-over-year comparison in the end.