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Shannon O'Neil

Latin America Policy & Analysis

Last Build Date: Tue, 24 Jan 2017 19:51:50 +0000


Why Argentina’s Macri Could Have a Rockier Year in 2017

Tue, 24 Jan 2017 19:50:36 +0000

Argentine President Mauricio Macri and his team can take a bow for their first year in office. Despite Macri’s outsider status and his party’s limited influence in the Congress, he in short order took on the country’s biggest economic distortions—unifying the exchange rate, resolving the fight with international creditors, cutting energy subsidies, reestablishing credible statistics, […]

Trump Won’t Stop Investment in Mexico

Fri, 20 Jan 2017 17:14:08 +0000

NAFTA is as much an investment as a trade treaty, providing guarantees of international courts, regulatory coordination, and intellectual property protections. This has helped bring over $500 billion in foreign direct investment (FDI) to Mexico over the last twenty-three years. This investment has mostly come from the United States, going into manufacturing, financial services, and mining.  Trump’s rhetoric—and […]

Shannon O’Neil On Bloomberg Surveillance

Fri, 09 Dec 2016 16:00:12 +0000

This morning, I had the pleasure of joining Tom Keene on Bloomberg Surveillance to discuss Venezuela, Brazil, Cuba, and China’s increasing opportunities in Latin America. You can watch the two clips of our conversation here and here. Published in conjunction with Latin America’s Moment at the Council on Foreign Relations.

The Hidden Refugee Crisis in the Western Hemisphere

Tue, 01 Nov 2016 18:20:50 +0000

While much attention is rightly focused on Syria and the Middle East, there are a growing number of refugees in the Western Hemisphere. The largest group comes from Central America’s Northern Triangle—Guatemala, El Salvador, and Honduras. For each of the past three years between 300,000 and 450,000 Central Americans have fled north. Of these, between […]

Latin America’s Populist Hangover

Tue, 18 Oct 2016 19:27:32 +0000

In my piece published in the November/December 2016 issue of Foreign Affairs, I lay out the economic and political characteristics of populism, analyze why it is receding in Latin America today, and describe what a next wave might look like. I also argue that Latin America’s historical experience with populism provides some bracing warnings to other […]

Interview With Jim Zirin: Current Events in Latin America

Fri, 14 Oct 2016 15:55:19 +0000

Last month, I had the pleasure of joining Jim Zirin on “Conversations in the Digital Age” to discuss the U.S.-Mexico relationship, the presidential impeachment in Brazil, Colombia’s peace deal, Argentina’s return to global markets, and the turmoil in Venezuela. You can watch the interview here. Published in conjunction with Latin America’s Moment at the Council on Foreign Relations.

Mexico’s Corrupt Governors

Tue, 11 Oct 2016 20:48:43 +0000

Last June, Mexico elected new governors in twelve of its thirty-one states. As millions of voters went to the urns, corruption was a top concern (along with insecurity). Eight states saw the incumbent party kicked out; in four—Veracruz, Quintana Roo, Chihuahua, and Durango—the PRI lost for the first time in the party’s history. The voter […]

Argentina and Brazil Grow Together

Fri, 15 Jul 2016 15:03:54 +0000

In my piece published this week on I reflect on Argentina’s and Brazil’s current political and economic situations. I argue that while their current challenges are their own, a potential long-term solution to their problems comes from each other—namely working to build an integrated South American economic hub. You can read the first two […]

How Americans See Mexico

Tue, 28 Jun 2016 20:17:04 +0000

The three North American leaders meet tomorrow in Ottawa, the new Trudeau government reviving an annual summit. As a recent poll of U.S. perceptions of its neighbors by Vianovo and GSD&M confirms, they face public opinion headwinds. Canvassing 1,000 U.S. adults through YouGov, the survey reveals the deep suspicions Americans hold of their neighbors, especially […]

Mexico’s Gubernatorial Elections

Mon, 06 Jun 2016 17:55:52 +0000

Mexico’s PRI lost big in yesterday’s gubernatorial elections. Just six months ago party optimists boasted they might sweep all twelve of the governorships; preliminary results show they may get just five. The rout happened in places with the strongest party machines—Tamaulipas, Veracruz, Quintana Roo—where for the first time in over eighty years citizens put a […]